TX-GOV (CBS/YouGov): Abbott +8

[2016]

This is the KEY here. According to that Poll Abortion hasn't been even the Top 5 List in TX
https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1542504758706966531

[2016]

It would appear that Abbott has numerous liabilities, and he had nearly a -20 approval on abortion here, even when most of it was taking pre-Dobbs

Abbott’s response to Uvalde shooting: 45% good, 55% bad

Cruz approval: 42/58 (-16)
Cornyn approval: 35/65 (-30!!!)

Abbott approval: 46/54 (-8)
Biden approval: 41/59 (-18)

Abbott’s approval on…
Education: 54/46 (+8)
Economy: 50/50 (=)
Race relations: 48/52 (-4)
Situation at the border: 44/56 (-12)
Gun policy: 43/57 (-14)
Abortion: 41/59 (-18)
The state’s electric grid: 37/63 (-26)
Gas prices: 27/73 (-46)

YouGov is consistently overestimating Demcorats in their Polls. Abbott will not lose this in this years Political Environment and O'Rourke is too liberal for the State.

[2016]

It would appear that Abbott has numerous liabilities, and he had nearly a -20 approval on abortion here, even when most of it was taking pre-Dobbs

Abbott’s response to Uvalde shooting: 45% good, 55% bad

Cruz approval: 42/58 (-16)
Cornyn approval: 35/65 (-30!!!)

Abbott approval: 46/54 (-8)
Biden approval: 41/59 (-18)

Abbott’s approval on…
Education: 54/46 (+8)
Economy: 50/50 (=)
Race relations: 48/52 (-4)
Situation at the border: 44/56 (-12)
Gun policy: 43/57 (-14)
Abortion: 41/59 (-18)
The state’s electric grid: 37/63 (-26)
Gas prices: 27/73 (-46)

YouGov is consistently overestimating Demcorats in their Polls. Abbott will not lose this in this years Political Environment and O'Rourke is too liberal for the State.

their GCB just this week was R+5.

Yes but look at the YouGov Polls from January until the end of May/early June where Democrats came consistently ahead in the GCB while others had D's behind.