GA - SurveyUSA: Ossoff+2, Warnock+7 (user search)
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  GA - SurveyUSA: Ossoff+2, Warnock+7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA - SurveyUSA: Ossoff+2, Warnock+7  (Read 5276 times)
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,761


« on: December 03, 2020, 11:41:23 AM »

I have no problem with these polls, Trump trying overturn Election results are having a devestating impact on GA races
This Poll is totally ridiculous - Period!

It's has a D + 4 Sample! Nowhere near is this true!

Party ID Nov 3rd per CNN Exits (Presidential Race)
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/georgia
D: 34 %
R: 38 %
I: 22 %

SurveyUSA wants us to believe that the Runoff Elections have a more favorable D-leaning Electorate compared to the November 3rd General Election.

What are these frivolous Pollsters smoking here?
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,761


« Reply #1 on: December 03, 2020, 12:02:07 PM »

Junk poll.  The electorate in the Loeffler/Warnock race is Biden + 4 and shows 81% turnout.  The November election was not 81% turnout.  This poll has black voters 32% of the electorate in the runoff and it was only 27% in November.
GA Electorate per NBC Exits Nov 3rd

White: 61 %
Black: 29 %
Hispanic: 7 %
Asian: 1 %
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/georgia-president-results
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2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,761


« Reply #2 on: December 03, 2020, 12:04:44 PM »

I have no problem with these polls, Trump trying overturn Election results are having a devestating impact on GA races
This Poll is totally ridiculous - Period!

It's has a D + 4 Sample! Nowhere near is this true!

Party ID Nov 3rd per CNN Exits (Presidential Race)
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/georgia
D: 34 %
R: 38 %
I: 22 %

SurveyUSA wants us to believe that the Runoff Elections have a more favorable D-leaning Electorate compared to the November 3rd General Election.

What are these frivolous Pollsters smoking here?

The party is actually even at 44-44 if look closer at the poll. It was Biden +4 which is within the margin of error and reasonable is some people don't want to admit voting for the loser.
We are not going to have a Party ID that is 44-44 I can guarantee you that. Also Exits in GA had Black Electorate at 29 % in November, SUSA says it's 32 % in January. This Polls is junk. Black Turnout will not be higher in a Runoff Election.
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