KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in

[2016]

We probably won't get a good idea of Booker's chances until Jefferson (where poll hours have been extended until 9 PM tonight) and Fayette come in.

Booker will lose here by a hair I think. McGrath Absentee Ballot Advantage might be too much to overcome.

[2016]

BTW,
The last time a Democratic Senate Candidate backed by the DSCC (Democratic Senate Campaign Committee) lost the Primary was then switched to Democrat Senator Arlen Specter in 2010 who lost to Joe Sestak who then lost to Pat Toomey in the General Election.

[2016]

Booker ahead in critical suburbs for now

That Kenton number stunned me. Even though it will eventually narrow, that should be right in McGrath’s wheelhouse

You can't draw to too many conclusions tonight! I expect Booker potentially ahead at the end of this Night because of the In-Person Vote. Will that hold up when the Absentee Votes are counted later this week. I seriously doubt it!

NBC has only 15 % of Kenton in while AP has 100 %.

[2016]

If Kentucky is a PREVIEW what's to come in November we may not know the answer who will be the next POTUS for Days, even weeks UNLESS Biden wins by 6-10 Points nationally and his Poll-lead, he has right now holds up until Nov 3rd.

Well, Democrats wanted this Absentee Nonsense and they have to live by it.

[2016]

All these Booker Supporters here have to realize one thing:

Booker was expected to beat McGrath in the In-Person Vote given the surge.

I still have massive doubts that his lead will hold once the Absentee Vote is fully tabulated.

The NY Times said on Tuesday even Bookers Aides saying privatly that he will get close to Mrs McGrath but not get over the top.

[2016]

A little bit strange:

CNN has now updated KY POTUS Primary (unfortunately they don't have the KY-SEN Primary)

They now have Biden at 47,115 Votes; 60.0 %

The NYTimes has him at 42,856 Votes while NBC has him at 40.939 Votes.

If the Vote Count by the Networks is done by Edison Reserach why do they have different Counts?

[2016]

Amy McGrath has now taken the lead AGAIN according to NBC NEWS

Amy McGrath 40.315 Votes = 43.2 %

Charles Booker 39.116 Votes = 43.0 %

17 % of the vote reported

Total Vote in the Democratic Senate Primary 93.242 per NBC NEWS!

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-primary-elections/kentucky-results?icid=election_nav

[2016]

NBC NEWS KY-SEN D-Primary

47 % IN

McGrath 123.681 = 47.4 %

Booker 101.653 = 38.9 %

That is WITHOUT Fayette and Jefferson Counties. This is going to be very, very close.

[2016]

NBC NEWS KY-SEN D-Primary

47 % IN

McGrath 123.681 = 47.4 %

Booker 101.653 = 38.9 %

That is WITHOUT Fayette and Jefferson Counties. This is going to be very, very close.

Fayette is included

So what are the odds that Booker somehow wins this at this point?

Less than 1%, requires absentee trend to be bucked in Jefferson.

Yes now Fayette (Lexington) is IN 100 % and Booker won there only by 3000 Votes. That's not gonna cut it for him.

Big Advantage McGrath at this Point!

[2016]

55 % IN

301.840 Votes in Total BTW.

[2016]

McGrath wins Franklin by 4 pts

There is obviously a massive Discrepancy between the Mail-In Vote and the In-Person Vote.

I suspect this and I voiced that a week ago on Election Day/Night. No one wanted to believe me!

[2016]

NBC NEWS 81 % IN

Amy McGrath 215.609 = 44.6 %

Charles Booker 213.182 = 44.1 %

[2016]

If I had to guess I'd say McGrath would be able to gain the lead? There doesn't seem to be enough friendly areas for Booker left.

WaPo has her up by less than 2k votes now. Outstanding counties are likely going to be favorable to her. Final margin may be super slim and we might see quite a few challenges from the Booker campaign.

It's hilarious how bad Booker is doing in the Rual Areas. If you look at the NBC D-SEN Map Booker won only 9 Counties thus far. You never win Statewide doing that!

[2016]

Bruce Lunsford ran a good Race against McConnell in 2008.

The last two Candidates though, Alison Lundergan-Grimes and Amy McGrath (Should this stand which I think it will) are total Gaffee Machines.
Prolly Alison didn't even want to tell whom she voted for in 2014.

[2016]

If I had to guess I'd say McGrath would be able to gain the lead? There doesn't seem to be enough friendly areas for Booker left.

WaPo has her up by less than 2k votes now. Outstanding counties are likely going to be favorable to her. Final margin may be super slim and we might see quite a few challenges from the Booker campaign.

It's hilarious how bad Booker is doing in the Rual Areas. If you look at the NBC D-SEN Map Booker won only 9 Counties thus far. You never win Statewide doing that!

Oh, you could.  Just has to be the right 9 counties.  And in the end Booker is only going to win 4 counties (possibly 5)

No, you can't. Booker is going to lose by 10-15K+ Votes when all is said and done!

[2016]

Bruce Lunsford ran a good Race against McConnell in 2008.

The last two Candidates though, Alison Lundergan-Grimes and Amy McGrath (Should this stand which I think it will) are total Gaffee Machines.
Prolly Alison didn't even want to tell whom she voted for in 2014.

Yeah, 2008 was really their last chance to take him down. Maybe they could have done it if they'd run Ben Chandler.

AG Daniel Cameron is hopefully going to replace Mitch in 2026 unless he wants to run for Governor in 2023.
I though think State Treasurer Allison Ball will run against Beshear.

[2016]

And here we go

NBC NEWS PROJECTION

Democrat Amy McGrath wins Kentucky Senate Democratic Primary; faces Republican Mitch McConnell in November

[2016]

Looking forward to what will be on track to be the worst Democratic Senate campaign since Alvin Greene in 2010.

If that's the case here is my Question:

Will McGrath win a bigger Percentage of the Vote compared to Grimes in 2014? I think Grimes got 42 % in 2014.