Emerson: Hochul +6

[Calthrina950]

Hochul, as expected, is on track to win, but I feel confident in saying that she will be held to single digits at this point. And that by itself could give Republicans significant gains in the House. Notably, Emerson has Hochul up by the same margin as Slingshot Strategy.

[Calthrina950]

Looking about my ideal result. Not enough to throw the race to some lunatic, but hopefully enough to scare her and the state establishment into an actual partnership with us.

In what universe does a 6% victory for Hochul would scare her into being more progressive?

If anything, I think Hochul will try to pivot more to the center after she wins reelection. She's already been making noises about taking a "tougher on crime" approach.