Kinda funny that the most polled race seems to be NY-GOV. Five polls since Sep 1, all of which are Hochul +15 or less. They could be off, but NY polls don’t typically underrate Democrats, so I’m guessing Cuomo altered swing voters’ perceptions of Hochul and the NY Democratic Party.
This, along with coronavirus restrictions, crime, and inflation, probably have helped Zeldin somewhat. I expect that he will improve over Molinaro in New York City and its suburbs, and that he will clear 40% statewide. New York, however - like California - is simply too Democratic for a Republican to win, and it's possible that the abortion issue will help Hochul. I'm keeping to my prediction of a 59-41% win for her.
