NY (Data for Progress) - Hochul +13
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  NY (Data for Progress) - Hochul +13
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GeorgiaModerate
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« on: September 15, 2022, 05:53:11 PM »

https://www.cityandstateny.com/politics/2022/09/hochul-leads-zeldin-52-39-according-data-progress-poll/377211/

Sep. 9-13, 931 LV

Hochul 52
Zeldin 39
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2022, 05:55:21 PM »

Considering Data for Progress' recent embarrassment in the state, maybe we should move this ten points to the left.

All snark aside, I don't think it's actually overestimating Zeldin as much as they did Mastriano.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2022, 06:27:35 PM »

The consistent in a lot of these NY polls is Zeldin usually around 39.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2022, 06:30:30 PM »

Kinda funny that the most polled race seems to be NY-GOV. Five polls since Sep 1, all of which are Hochul +15 or less. They could be off, but NY polls don’t typically underrate Democrats, so I’m guessing Cuomo altered swing voters’ perceptions of Hochul and the NY Democratic Party.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2022, 06:34:31 PM »

Kinda funny that the most polled race seems to be NY-GOV. Five polls since Sep 1, all of which are Hochul +15 or less. They could be off, but NY polls don’t typically underrate Democrats, so I’m guessing Cuomo altered swing voters’ perceptions of Hochul and the NY Democratic Party.

This, along with coronavirus restrictions, crime, and inflation, probably have helped Zeldin somewhat. I expect that he will improve over Molinaro in New York City and its suburbs, and that he will clear 40% statewide. New York, however - like California - is simply too Democratic for a Republican to win, and it's possible that the abortion issue will help Hochul. I'm keeping to my prediction of a 59-41% win for her.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2022, 06:48:39 PM »

Kinda funny that the most polled race seems to be NY-GOV. Five polls since Sep 1, all of which are Hochul +15 or less. They could be off, but NY polls don’t typically underrate Democrats, so I’m guessing Cuomo altered swing voters’ perceptions of Hochul and the NY Democratic Party.

I doubt that's the case since NY Dems and Hochul pretty much did everything they could/and are still doing to detach from Cuomo. Hochul has been pretty open about not even really liking him when they worked together.
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Sestak
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« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2022, 07:01:42 PM »

This is a banned poll.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #7 on: September 15, 2022, 07:46:21 PM »

Kinda funny that the most polled race seems to be NY-GOV. Five polls since Sep 1, all of which are Hochul +15 or less. They could be off, but NY polls don’t typically underrate Democrats, so I’m guessing Cuomo altered swing voters’ perceptions of Hochul and the NY Democratic Party.

I doubt that's the case since NY Dems and Hochul pretty much did everything they could/and are still doing to detach from Cuomo. Hochul has been pretty open about not even really liking him when they worked together.

She might be trying to, but she was his LG for 6 years and chose to work with him. There’d be much more lopsided polls given how polling in other states is looking like if there wasn’t some fatigue with the Dems going on.

It’s very common for an unpopular administration to drag down candidates of the same party in subsequent elections. See 2018 CT Gov, 2022 OR Gov just in the last few cycles.
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Duke of York
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« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2022, 12:30:26 PM »

Why is it banned?
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