1. Whitmer- Of the swing state Governors, I feel like Whitmer is the most polarizing. The people who dislike her REALLY dislike her. And in a midterm, that's hugely beneficial to either side, because those people are likely to turn out. The ones I worry about the most are Meijer and James
2. Kemp
3. Evers- He better hope there are no more protests + arsons, if there are, he moves up to #1. But I feel Whitmer has more fiery haters then Evers
4. Sisolak- Lockdowns, that tech corporation bill and just the overall environment. And no NV is not a #TITANIUMDSTATE
5. Lujan-Grisham- I swear to god, if Ronchetti runs and campaigns against the lockdowns he will win.
6. Kelly- I actually think Kelly is in a good position for re-election, as long as her approval ratings are good. Because she has a d next to her name it will be single digits though.
7. Mills- Mills would be in real danger. But the GOP is running Trump Lite LePage so she should be ok.
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Lujan-Grisham got caught using state discretionary funds to cover food and other expenses at the Governor's Mansion last week, in a manner that has been viewed by many as improper. This isn't the first time she's been caught being hypocritical with regards to the pandemic; she was busted for obtaining jewelry from a shop that was closed to the rest of the public last year. She's also had one of the harshest coronavirus responses of any Governor, as you alluded to, and has generally suffered from poor approvals throughout her term. I could certainly see her as a upset loss for Democrats next year.