MA-GOV 2022 Megathread (user search)
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May 28, 2024, 02:35:43 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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Author Topic: MA-GOV 2022 Megathread  (Read 22024 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: October 02, 2021, 09:21:36 AM »

Here's a question about one of the executive positions in MA:

William F. Galvin is in his 27th year as Secretary of the Commonwealth. He has won seven consecutive elections to this position, starting in 1994. He recently celebrated his 71st birthday. Is he going to run for an eighth term?

Probably. Most of these long-tenured statewide officials (i.e. Tom Miller in Iowa, Doug LaFollette in Wisconsin), who've been in office for decades, are running for reelection, just like how most of the longest-serving members of Congress are giving it another go. Jesse White, the Secretary of State of Illinois, however, is retiring.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: December 01, 2021, 10:42:48 AM »

BAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Congratulations to Maura Healey!

You seem to be happy that he's not running for reelection.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: December 01, 2021, 11:43:24 AM »

BAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Congratulations to Maura Healey!

You seem to be happy that he's not running for reelection.

Again: don't be surprized. He is a Democratic "activist" after all. That's natural.... for them...

What exactly is so wrong with a Democrat being happy a Democrat will be elected?

Anyway, this race is now Safe D and Healey will be an incredible Governor.

I don't think there's anything wrong about celebrating Healey, but there certainly doesn't seem to be any regard for Baker. Trumpists think he is a RINO, and progressives view him as no different from any other Republican.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #3 on: December 01, 2021, 01:35:46 PM »

BAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Congratulations to Maura Healey!

You seem to be happy that he's not running for reelection.

Honestly, I don't really care that much. I don't live in the state and things won't be much different since Baker pretty much just governed like a generic D. However, the flip will be nice as it will help blunt our losses in other gubernatorial races next year.

This much is true, and this is the reason why Baker is retiring. His approvals among Democrats are higher than they are among Republicans, and he wasn't assured of winning a Republican primary. Moreover, I think it's likely that Baker is simply tired and is ready to leave office.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4 on: December 01, 2021, 09:27:32 PM »

Likely D -> Tossup

That Dukakis is still alive is certainly a reminder of how the past isn't that distant, though it has been 33 years since he lost to the elder Bush.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #5 on: December 02, 2021, 09:08:56 PM »

What is the view here of Maura Healey? I've heard that she's a staunch progressive, with a "unlikable" personality, who tends to lean in heavily on social and cultural issues (or in other words, that she's the archetype of an upper middle-class, suburban Democrat). I've heard, on the other hand, that she possesses some charisma and could be a solid candidate. What is the consensus?
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #6 on: December 02, 2021, 11:05:26 PM »

What is the view here of Maura Healey? I've heard that she's a staunch progressive, with a "unlikable" personality, who tends to lean in heavily on social and cultural issues (or in other words, that she's the archetype of an upper middle-class, suburban Democrat). I've heard, on the other hand, that she possesses some charisma and could be a solid candidate. What is the consensus?

All of this is true. Her "lane" would be similar to Markey's in the primary against Kennedy last year. The perception that there's Coakley potential in the general is motivated by sexism since Healey has, as you say, some charisma and Coakley simply did not, but Healey wouldn't be a shoo-in in a primary against someone like Walsh who could appeal to the types of voters Kennedy tried to mobilize against Markey but without coming across as a lightweight.

This seems reasonable. I don't know much about Walsh either, other than that he was Mayor of Boston and has a more traditional "pro-labor" background. It'll be interesting, nevertheless, to see a primary play out between them, and to see who would prevail. Either would be a heavy favorite in the general against Diehl, who will probably be the Republican nominee at this point and is far to the right of the state.
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