Why was the house vote closer in Colorado? (user search)
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  Why was the house vote closer in Colorado? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why was the house vote closer in Colorado?  (Read 802 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: December 21, 2020, 11:15:56 AM »

I can get a Biden-generic R voter, but who would split their ticket for Boebert! It really concerns me that people like Boebert and MTG overperformed Trump in their districts.

Honestly, from an objective standpoint, Lauren Boebert is a Generic R.

Agreed. Boebert is certainly more conservative (or more Trumpist) than Scott Tipton is, but to her credit, she largely focused on the issues during her congressional campaign, and isn't nearly as crazed or conspiracy-prone as Taylor-Greene is.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: December 21, 2020, 11:18:37 AM »

Yes, Democrats underperformed in the suburbs, which is basically what happened nationwide. For example, Trump won El Paso County (Colorado Springs) by 11%, Gardner won it by 16%, and Doug Lamborn (the Republican incumbent in CO-05) won it by 19%. Likewise, Jason Crow did two points worse than Biden in CO-06 (Denver suburbs). Biden, Hickenlooper, and Mitsch Bush all won Pueblo County, yet the latter two did a tad worse than the former.

Here's the results by congressional district:

CO-01 (City of Denver): Biden +53.5, DeGette +50
CO-02 (Boulder + Fort Collins): Biden +30, Neguse +26
CO-03: (Western Slope + Grand Junction + Pueblo + ski towns like Aspen): Trump +5.5, Boebert +6
CO-04 (Eastern Plains): Trump +16, Buck +23.5
CO-05 (Colorado Springs): Trump +13, Lamborn +20
CO-06 (Aurora): Biden +19, Crow +17
CO-07 (West Denver suburbs): Biden +23, Perlmutter +21.5

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/11/19/1163009/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-2020-2016-and-2012

It's worth noting that it's not just suburban ancestrally R Biden voters splitting their tickets, though. Ken Buck performed significantly better than Trump in his rural district.

I was aware of Gardner's overperformance over Trump in El Paso County, and elsewhere in the Front Range Urban Corridor, but I'm surprised that Lamborn ran ahead of both of them. He's an unremarkable and craven backbencher.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2020, 05:12:15 PM »

Yes, Democrats underperformed in the suburbs, which is basically what happened nationwide. For example, Trump won El Paso County (Colorado Springs) by 11%, Gardner won it by 16%, and Doug Lamborn (the Republican incumbent in CO-05) won it by 19%. Likewise, Jason Crow did two points worse than Biden in CO-06 (Denver suburbs). Biden, Hickenlooper, and Mitsch Bush all won Pueblo County, yet the latter two did a tad worse than the former.

Here's the results by congressional district:

CO-01 (City of Denver): Biden +53.5, DeGette +50
CO-02 (Boulder + Fort Collins): Biden +30, Neguse +26
CO-03: (Western Slope + Grand Junction + Pueblo + ski towns like Aspen): Trump +5.5, Boebert +6
CO-04 (Eastern Plains): Trump +16, Buck +23.5
CO-05 (Colorado Springs): Trump +13, Lamborn +20
CO-06 (Aurora): Biden +19, Crow +17
CO-07 (West Denver suburbs): Biden +23, Perlmutter +21.5

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/11/19/1163009/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-2020-2016-and-2012

It's worth noting that it's not just suburban ancestrally R Biden voters splitting their tickets, though. Ken Buck performed significantly better than Trump in his rural district.

I was aware of Gardner's overperformance over Trump in El Paso County, and elsewhere in the Front Range Urban Corridor, but I'm surprised that Lamborn ran ahead of both of them. He's an unremarkable and craven backbencher.

When you're a longtime incumbent and that your challenger is some underfunded dude things like that happen.

Well, as I've said before, I live in CO-05, and am therefore a constituent of Lamborn's. So I'm very well aware of the political conditions here. Jillian Freeland, Lamborn's opponent this year, did about as well as Stephany Rose-Spaulding, his 2018 opponent, who actually ran a semblance of a campaign. I saw only one ad for Freeland this year, but at least two different ones, multiple times, for Spaulding.
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