How will the 2020s go politically?

[Calthrina950]

I suspect that the 2020s could end up becoming a "Republican" decade, which in many respects, has been the fate of every decade from the 1970s onwards, as engendered by the Nixon realignment of 1968, and consolidated by the Reagan Revolution of 1980. That is, Republicans will take control of both Houses of Congress in 2022, win the Presidency in 2024, maintain at least one House of Congress in 2026, and perhaps win presidential reelection in 2028. Of course, it's possible that Democrats win the presidential election in 2024, but that would make the 2026 midterms distinctly unfavorable to their party.

At any rate, this year has been a horrendous start to the new decade, and I only expect polarization, and the factors attendant to it, to get worse as the decade progresses. Globalization (and automation), climate change, income inequality-all of these issues, and more, will just become more salient. Republicans will block many of Biden's policy initiatives, and gridlock will encompass our government. Great social battles will be waged over issues such as immigration, transgender rights, political correctness, police brutality, and the like, with little for the better by 2029 on many of these issues. The effects of the pandemic will reverberate throughout the remainder of the decade, and exacerbate these crises.

[Calthrina950]

Most likely a (sharp) decline in democracy globally (Hungarization vs Neoliberal global elites). Very pessimistic about it. Climate change is going to be unstoppable as well. Coral reefs and most of the Amazon will be gone by 2030.

One of the most frustrating things about this, is that there are millions of people, perhaps even hundreds of millions, of people, who continue to deny or downplay climate change. This problem is especially noticeable in the United States. That makes it much more difficult for anything to be done to address it.