Which of the last two Republicans from Clinton districts is more likely to survive

[Calthrina950]

Fitzpatrick, given that he's led in the vast majority of polls and has considerable crossover appeal, surviving the double-digit wins of Wolf and Casey in 2018 in his district. But I think both will narrowly hold on, though a Democratic sweep of these two districts is not out of the question.

[Calthrina950]

Fitz. Also there are 3 running (them + Garcia).

This is true, but Fitzpatrick and Katko are the last two Republicans from Clinton districts running for reelection that were incumbents at the time of the 2016 election. Hurd, of course, is retiring, and would lose if he ran for reelection anyhow.