Are Arizona, Georgia And Texas Really In Play?

[Calthrina950]

I would say that Arizona certainly is. Out of these three states, it was the only one where Democrats won a statewide race in 2018 (AZ Secretary of State and US Senator), and it is the only one where Democrats control a majority of the congressional delegation. Moreover, Trump did worse in Arizona than in Georgia and Texas in 2016, and it was the only one of the three states where he failed to obtain an absolute majority against Hillary Clinton. Biden will win Arizona before he wins Georgia and Texas.

I don't think Texas will flip this cycle-though Biden could come as close there as O'Rourke did against Cruz in 2018. Georgia probably leans Trump, but Biden can flip it if he has a really good night. As things stand now, I think it is more likely that he loses the state by a margin similar to Stacey Abrams' loss in the 2018 gubernatorial race.