Will Matt Bevin win by more or less than he did in 2015?

[Calthrina950]

If he wins by low double digits, which I'm thinking he might, it will obviously be more. Beshear is going to get annihilated in the ancestrally Democratic regions of Eastern Kentucky, though he will get at least Jim Gray level numbers (and probably more) in Jefferson and Fayette Counties. That will not be enough to save him though.

[Calthrina950]

He’ll win by more than Trump because of polarization.

Are you channeling me?

[Calthrina950]

I wonder what Conway-Bevin voters would be thinking, if there is a meaningful amount of them.

There certainly will be, since Bevin will win most, if not all, of the rural counties that Conway carried. Probably Obama-Trump white working-class voters, or at least "ancestral" Democrats (like those in Elliott County) who believe that the Democratic Party has moved too far to the left, and can no longer detach their local Democrats from the national organization to which they pay allegiance to.