Bold Senate Election Predictions

[Calthrina950]

I have a few predictions:

1. Heitkamp will lose by high single to low double digits in North Dakota, and McCaskill will lose by ~1-4 points in Missouri. North Dakota and Missouri will be the sole Republican pickups of the night.

2. Tester and Donnelly will both win reelection by less than 4 points each, with Donnelly's margin of victory being narrower than Tester's.

3. Manchin will win by ~10-15 points, at the minimum, and will be the only Romney-state Democrat to win by double digits.

4. Rosen and Sinema will both win by less than 3 points, with Rosen's performance similar to that of Hillary Clinton's in 2016. Arizona will be closer than Nevada.

5. Bredesen and O'Rourke will both lose by mid to high single digits. Bredesen may even lose by low double digits.

6. Menendez will win by high single digits.

7. De Leon will crack 40% against Feinstein in California, but will still lose by ~10-15 points.

8. Nelson will beat Scott by less than 3 points, and will underperform Gillum.

[Calthrina950]

Democrats end up with 53 Senate seats after all is said and done.

Which seats do you think they will gain?

[Calthrina950]

Here is a map depicting my predictions, which I outlined earlier:

I've become much less uncertain about Missouri and Indiana in recent weeks, but for now, I will hold to this.