2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (user search)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 87845 times)
YE
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Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« on: May 17, 2022, 09:40:48 PM »
Thank you for reporting the offended post and not quoting it 45678 times.
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YE
Modadmin
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*****
Posts: 15,975


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2022, 02:17:35 AM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on May 18, 2022, 02:01:28 AM
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on May 18, 2022, 01:57:33 AM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on May 18, 2022, 01:41:27 AM

Not potentially. It is. Dare I say, R's are favored to pick it up if Schrader loses.

It’s Biden+9, a pretty steep hill to climb.

Biden +9 is literally less than a 5-point Republican win on the generic ballot nationally on average. Not steep at all actually.

Republicans on this forum greatly underestimate their own party. Almost like they've internalized the massive Dem bias here and elsewhere.

Do you mean Democratic win? Since when is the GCB R+14?
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YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,975


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2022, 02:27:01 AM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on May 18, 2022, 02:24:03 AM
Quote from: YE on May 18, 2022, 02:17:35 AM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on May 18, 2022, 02:01:28 AM
Quote from: Tekken_Guy on May 18, 2022, 01:57:33 AM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on May 18, 2022, 01:41:27 AM

Not potentially. It is. Dare I say, R's are favored to pick it up if Schrader loses.

It’s Biden+9, a pretty steep hill to climb.

Biden +9 is literally less than a 5-point Republican win on the generic ballot nationally on average. Not steep at all actually.

Republicans on this forum greatly underestimate their own party. Almost like they've internalized the massive Dem bias here and elsewhere.

Do you mean Democratic win? Since when is the GCB R+14?

Biden +9 was 4.5 more D than the national vote in 2020. So if national vote is R+5, that district would be highly competitive in most circumstances. R+14 would make Biden +18 ish districts competitive.

Oh, right. But I think most people would agree it’s fairly competitive though not certain to fall and pretty safe in non-wave years?
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YE
Modadmin
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*****
Posts: 15,975


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #3 on: June 14, 2022, 01:33:06 PM »
Just voted. Had no line and half the booths were empty. Voted CCM/Titus/Burkhead but none of these for governor.
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YE
Modadmin
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*****
Posts: 15,975


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #4 on: June 15, 2022, 12:46:23 AM »
Glad to see the faux socialists of the NV Dem party go down in flames.
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YE
Modadmin
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,975


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52
« Reply #5 on: June 15, 2022, 01:28:07 AM »


Lovely. Her and Merchant are going to be representing my state for at least 4 years most likely…
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