IN-Morning Consult: Trump +17 (user search)
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  IN-Morning Consult: Trump +17 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IN-Morning Consult: Trump +17  (Read 1543 times)
YE
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E: -4.90, S: -0.52

« on: August 05, 2020, 06:06:36 PM »

Honestly, fine -- if this means Biden's popular vote margin isn't just being inflated by a bunch of reliably Republican states, it's for the best.

Indiana's not radically different than Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania. Its a midwestern bellwether. Obama's strong performance in Indiana indicated his strength in the Midwest generally. Clinton's underperformance there and Evan Bayh's loss were the first signs of Trump's win. I'll be watching the results in Indiana as they come in first on election night to confirm Trump's re-election.

Indiana is much more ancestrally Republican than those states and has a bit of a Southern Evangelical bent. It’s not a bellwether at least on a uniform basis. Also funny how you never comment on the good Biden polls.
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