Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22

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I don't think the path to 218 runs through TX at all, I wouldn't be surprised if Dems took the House even if they net 0 seats out of TX. Dems need to go all out on CA, NY, PA.

TX-23 is basically a layup. Everyone else is favored by a bit but we've seen so many R seats be competitive in specials so far.

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Is TX-07 finished? How is Moser looking?

IIRC he's in 2nd and knocked out Westin from the runoff.  

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What if all this action by the DCCC was to inoculate the voters on Moser's weaknesses and actually boost her over Westin (the real progressive)? It's the reverse McCaskill strategy. Moser, though she might be the "Sanders" of this race, showed in her contempt for Texas, that she's just as much a coastal elite as any DNC-favoured candidate.  The run-off is between an anti-union shill and a snob. Pick your poison of which Hillary you want, 7th District Dems.

Maybe come to think about it as Moser is likely more electable than Westin, and it worked since Moser happened to be a Justice Dem. FWIW, the DCCC said about Moser not liking the entire state of Texas has been disproven yet some people keep repeating it on this thread.  

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Richard Ojeda is behind Shirley Love in the WV-03 Dem primary early returns. Love leads 43-37.

if Ojeda lost in the primary....

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Is Walter Jones going down tonight?

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Looks like Ohio and Indiana are unmitigated disasters for the Dems based on the turnout numbers, especially with Indiana practically ensuring Donnelly is a 1-termer.  

Uhhh...no, not at all.

I would take it as another modest datapoint confirming a shift to the GOP in both states vs. the Obama era.

What data?

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WE SHOULD have run someone against Walt Jones, ridiculous...

Because he is uber safe due to the fact he’s an RINO?

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Holy sh*t Kara Eastman leading Ashford by 2% with 44% of the vote in. Dems about to throw away a pickup.

and the seat is gone if Eastman wins because?

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It's interesting how differently people treat Ojeda and Morganelli despite their similar views.

How are they similar?

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Wild seems more progressive than I am remembering. Looking at this, I don't mind him much.

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Goodbye to any chance at a Democratic NE-02. SAD!

NYT shows Eastman winning with 100% in

Yes, but it seems incredibly narrow minded to write off Eastman. Democratic primary vote exceeded votes for Bacon by about 3,000 ballots. And while you could argue this is a bad example because Bacon ran unopposed, well, Ashford ran unopposed in 2016 and received far fewer primary votes than the Republican field.

See guys, this is how you correctly analyze primary vote totals, by comparing them to historical results and situations, not presidential margins or PVI.

This is simply not a left-wing district though.

Simply looking at her platform, I'm not seeing anything out of the ordinary for a run of the mill Democrat.

She's a Justice Dem but we don't really know how they'd preform in a swing district in a wave year. How many people have actually lost these kinds of districts for being too far left? How many any CPC members have actually lost? Eastman could lose but it's too soon to write her off.

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The vast majority of KY-06's primary votes are Democratic. The seat is Safe D.

Can't tell if serious but KY-06 is ancestrally Democratic.