my prediction:
Bachmann: 21%
McCotter: 17%
Paul: 17%
Perry (write-in): 12%
Pawlenty: 11%
Cain: 10%
Romney: 7%
Santorum: 3%
Gingrich/Huntsman/others: 2%
What's the deal with that, dude?
I don't really know how things are on the ground in Iowa, of course, but ever since I read about
how a McCotter representative strolled in during the Ames booth auctions and dropped down some huge money, I've been assuming that his campaign is pushing hard for a good result here. It wouldn't be hard for him to portray himself as "the candidate everyone's been waiting for", especially considering it'll be the first time most have heard of him and they'll be (presumably) learning about him from his campaign's prime set-up at the Straw Poll itself. It'll be right on track for him to be the next "GOP Flavor of the Month", too.
It's honestly more of a hunch than anything, yeah, but it makes sense to me at least.