Charles is sometimes competitive in federal elections, but I believe Ehrlich won big there in 2002. Anne Arundel will go for Ehrlich by at least 10%. However, if O'Malley can keep Ehrlich to 55% or so in Anne Arundel, he (O'Malley) has a great chance of winning. The same thing can be said for Howard and Baltimore County. If Ehrlich wins Howard by 5% or so and wins Baltimore County by 10% or so, he really doesnt have much of a chance.
Ehrlich won most of these counties by 20-30% in 2002, and still only managed to pull 52% statewide.
The votes are in PG, MoCo, and Baltimore City.
Thank you for that information. It really is interesting how two counties and a city can control the entire political outcome of a state. Why is Anne Arundel County so supportive of Ehrlich? I thought that as a suburban Baltimore county it might be more evenly split. Furthermore, is Frederick County considered reliably Republican or has it voted for Democrats in the past? I realize it's represented by Republican congressman Roscoe Bartlett. It just seems to me that more development is going on in Frederick, Brunswick, and Point of Rocks and that maybe that would make the area more competitive as well.
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