Is Ohio becoming the next Missouri? (user search)
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  Is Ohio becoming the next Missouri? (search mode)
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Question: Is Ohio the next Missouri?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
#3
Maybe
 
#4
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Total Voters: 130

Author Topic: Is Ohio becoming the next Missouri?  (Read 7137 times)
60+ GOP Seats After 2018 GUARANTEED
ahugecat
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Posts: 868


« on: July 29, 2017, 12:42:22 PM »
« edited: July 29, 2017, 12:45:53 PM by ahugecat »

Depends on how much he wins Ohio by in 2020.

He won by 8 points in 2016, if he wins by 8+ points in 2020 then I can say we may see a change. He got 51.7% of the vote, and if he only gets that in 2020 (thus winning Ohio by around 5) then it's still swing state status.

Pennsylvania may be the new Ohio though in terms of swing state battles.

Ohio may be what Virginia is to Democrats - a lean-Republican red state but can still be flipped with the right candidate.
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60+ GOP Seats After 2018 GUARANTEED
ahugecat
Jr. Member
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Posts: 868


« Reply #1 on: July 29, 2017, 07:17:26 PM »

As others have said, we'll have a better idea in 2020. It could also be that it has shifted to the right, but that it won't continue to do so, and will just remain a Lean R state.
Like Virginia, right?

Virginia is blue, but people act like it's super dark Massachusetts blue when in reality the right GOP candidate could win it still. Gillespie could have won in 2014 if the GOP didn't pull out of that race.

Ohio will be a 5-7 point Republican state but still winnable for Democrats with the right candidate.

The 2017 Virginia gubernatorial race will be one to watch to see if VA is truly blue.
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60+ GOP Seats After 2018 GUARANTEED
ahugecat
Jr. Member
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Posts: 868


« Reply #2 on: July 29, 2017, 07:27:35 PM »

Gubernatorial races have no bearing on state partisanship, and it's been obvious since forever Northam's going to win.
That's why I am saying if Gillespie wins (he will) then it's going to put the Democrats into shock.
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