2016 National Precinct Map on NYT (user search)
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  2016 National Precinct Map on NYT (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016 National Precinct Map on NYT  (Read 7010 times)
Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,349


« on: July 26, 2018, 05:56:53 PM »

I don't think I knew this already: Jill Stein came second in my precinct! 85 Clinton - 2 Stein - 1 Trump (those are votes, not percentages).
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Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,349


« Reply #1 on: July 29, 2018, 03:06:10 PM »

Where I grew up: Clinton 55 - 38
Where my absentee ballot was counted: Clinton 67 - 27
Where I was temporarily living on Election Day: Clinton 87 - 7
Where I live now: Clinton 77 - 8

Looks like I'm in the running for living the most sheltered life on this forum.

edit: except I spent the summer of 2016 living/working in a Trump 62 - 26 precinct

Oh, you ain't got nothin':

Where I grew up: 84% Clinton, 14% Trump
Where I live now: 97% Clinton, 2% Stein, 1% Trump
Where I lived at the time of the 2016 election: 93% Clinton, 5% Trump
Where I work: 75% Clinton, 21% Trump
Where my parents live now:* 51% Trump, 42% Clinton
My various other prior addresses in adulthood (in order of residence):
- 81% Clinton, 13% Trump
- 86% Clinton, 8% Trump
- 85% Clinton, 9% Trump
- 78% Clinton, 17% Trump

*I never lived here.
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Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,349


« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2018, 09:29:11 AM »
« Edited: July 31, 2018, 09:37:41 AM by Tintrlvr »

There is a precinct south of Enterprise, Oregon that is a 5-hour drive from the nearest Clinton precinct.
There is a precinct on San Juan Island, Washington that is a 4:13 drive from the nearest Trump precinct. I bet Prudhoe Bay would be further, but it wont show up on the drive time calculator.

The "drive times" don't really make sense for remote islands, though. Monhegan, Maine (might be Stein's best precinct with a non-negligible number of votes - she got 16%) is shown as being a "55 minute drive" from the nearest Trump precinct, but there are no cars on Monhegan and no car ferry to the island.

Also, New Shoreham, Rhode Island (another remote island), is shown as 5:09 drive to the nearest Trump precinct. I think it does have a car ferry, though. And Nantucket is shown as a 10:18 (!!) drive to the nearest Trump precinct, but that seems to wildly overstate the amount of time it takes to get from Nantucket to the mainland (and there are Trump precincts right near the ferry on Cape Cod).

The farthest on the "mainland" (connected to the rest of the country by road and not by ferry) I can find is Montauk, New York, which is reported to be a 5:14 drive from the nearest Trump precinct. Problem is that it seems to be picking up a location in Rhode Island, which, while nearest in a straight line, is obviously not the shortest travel time; there are Trump precincts around an hour away elsewhere on Long Island.
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Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,349


« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2018, 05:08:53 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2018, 05:12:16 PM by Tintrlvr »

There is a precinct south of Enterprise, Oregon that is a 5-hour drive from the nearest Clinton precinct.
There is a precinct on San Juan Island, Washington that is a 4:13 drive from the nearest Trump precinct. I bet Prudhoe Bay would be further, but it wont show up on the drive time calculator.

The "drive times" don't really make sense for remote islands, though. Monhegan, Maine (might be Stein's best precinct with a non-negligible number of votes - she got 16%) is shown as being a "55 minute drive" from the nearest Trump precinct, but there are no cars on Monhegan and no car ferry to the island.

Also, New Shoreham, Rhode Island (another remote island), is shown as 5:09 drive to the nearest Trump precinct. I think it does have a car ferry, though. And Nantucket is shown as a 10:18 (!!) drive to the nearest Trump precinct, but that seems to wildly overstate the amount of time it takes to get from Nantucket to the mainland (and there are Trump precincts right near the ferry on Cape Cod).

The farthest on the "mainland" (connected to the rest of the country by road and not by ferry) I can find is Montauk, New York, which is reported to be a 5:14 drive from the nearest Trump precinct. Problem is that it seems to be picking up a location in Rhode Island, which, while nearest in a straight line, is obviously not the shortest travel time; there are Trump precincts around an hour away elsewhere on Long Island.

maybe it's counted from Midnight and so the ferry isn't in operation so you need to wait for it?

Maybe. Seems strange.

Anyway, I've quested to check my assertion that Monhegan, Maine is the most Stein precinct in the country (with a non-negligible number of votes, so excluding any precinct NYT thought had too few votes to color in) and shown myself to be wrong. It appears that there is a precinct on the remote coast north of Fort Bragg, California (only town named on the map in the precinct is Hales Grove, which has a rather barren Wikipedia article) where Stein got 20% of the vote, and another one near there where she hit 16%. She's also only shown in places where she came second. There are a few precincts in the same general area of California (such as one in Willits, California) where the Clinton+Trump total is under 80% (in that case, just 76%) where it's possible that the lion's share of the other vote is Stein, though Johnson generally did well in that area, too, and so the Hales Grove precinct is probably the winner.

Edit: Found another one nearby, this time covering Petrolia, California, that was 22% Stein.
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Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,349


« Reply #4 on: August 13, 2018, 11:26:04 PM »
« Edited: August 13, 2018, 11:31:54 PM by Tintrlvr »

Why is southern Brooklyn so Republican?



Primarily ultra-Orthodox Jews, who explain all of the very heavily Republican areas. The more moderately Republican areas are a mix of areas that are heavily "ethnic white" third- and fourth-generation American families (with the most Republican of such areas, like Mill Basin and to a lesser extent Dyker Heights, also being quite wealthy - the more marginal ones tend to be more middle class, but are also rapidly becoming heavily Asian (mainly Chinese) American and more Democratic) and some areas with a lot of recent immigrants from Russia (especially Brighton Beach and Manhattan Beach on the eastern half of Coney Island).

Basically nothing in Brooklyn south of Prospect Park (the six-sided blank space near the middle of the borough) is anything like the stereotypical image non-locals have of the borough.
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Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,349


« Reply #5 on: August 14, 2018, 12:35:54 PM »
« Edited: August 14, 2018, 12:40:32 PM by Tintrlvr »

Why is southern Brooklyn so Republican?



Primarily ultra-Orthodox Jews, who explain all of the very heavily Republican areas. The more moderately Republican areas are a mix of areas that are heavily "ethnic white" third- and fourth-generation American families (with the most Republican of such areas, like Mill Basin and to a lesser extent Dyker Heights, also being quite wealthy - the more marginal ones tend to be more middle class, but are also rapidly becoming heavily Asian (mainly Chinese) American and more Democratic) and some areas with a lot of recent immigrants from Russia (especially Brighton Beach and Manhattan Beach on the eastern half of Coney Island).

Basically nothing in Brooklyn south of Prospect Park (the six-sided blank space near the middle of the borough) is anything like the stereotypical image non-locals have of the borough.

Thanks. That makes sense. I hooked up with a guy in Flatbush-Ditmas Park and when we were walking to his place, I was sorta feeling like I wasn't even in Brooklyn. It was definitely not the image of a bohemian, urbane, trendy area. It was still nice, but very mixed suburban lowscale kind of nice.

True, though if you were in Ditmas Park, you were still in the deep blue area just south of Prospect Park. Ditmas Park is definitely gentrifying but it's one of the few places south of Prospect Park with attractive pre-war housing stock (mainly larger single-family or subdivided detached Edwardian houses) so one of the few areas there likely to ever experience a significant influx of "gentrifiers".
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