European Parliament Election: May 23-26, 2019

[Tintrlvr]

So, UK's South East region just elected two MEPs who are both named Alexandra Phillips. Wild.

https://twitter.com/Spikeyorks/status/1132789745648644096

The Green one goes by Alex. (She's already an MEP.)

[Tintrlvr]

Only Dublin has any counts declared yet in Ireland, north or south.

Count 7, 4 seats to be elected but the last candidate elected won't take their seat unless/until Brexit happens, quota 72,790

Cuffe (Green) 64,853
Fitzgerald (FG) 59,448
Andrews (FF) 51,997
Daly (Ind 4 Change) 43,400
Boylan (SF) 40,045
Gannon (Soc Dem) 21,002
White (Lab) 18,942
Durkan (FG) 16,733
Brien (PBP) 11,730
Higgins (Ind) 11,434
O'Doherty (Ind) 8,661
Gilroy (Ind) 8,511
Harrold (PBP) 5,607 eliminated

Still quite a lot of eliminations to go.  I assume Cuffe and Fitzgerald will be in and it may be between Daly and Andrews for who is elected third and fourth.

(RTE results link, which covers Northern Ireland as well: https://www.rte.ie/news/elections-2019/results/#/european )

Considering that nearly all of the lower-down votes are for lefties, Daly has to be nailed on for the third seat. Andrews should be strongly favored for the 4th seat but I guess Boylan can’t be ruled out completely.

[Tintrlvr]

Why is there such a collapse for Labour and the Tories, while the useless moderate heroes Liberal Democrats doing so well?

Because Labour and the Tories tried to be useless moderate heroes on Brexit while the Lib Dems did not.

[Tintrlvr]

Age breakdowns from France are kind of interesting, this is just one example but it does point to a certain... generational malaise for Les Républicains in particular



The polls were not great this time round in France. I mean, FN slightly underperformed polling, but within the margin of error so that's no great shock - but they got EELV and LR pretty badly off; which I guess is a factor of it being hard-ish to predict who was actually going to turnout in the end.

Also very striking that MUH NEW WORLD!!!!!1!11!! polls best with older voters (especially given how much FBM's policies had supposedly pissed off retirees).

« C'est un parti de la jeunesse » Nathalie Loiseau

Part of this is surely because young Macron voters switched to EELV in a proportional vote but may switch back in France’s normal quasi-FPTP/runoff system.