Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 23, 2024, 04:39:00 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)  (Read 25522 times)
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« on: May 17, 2016, 07:23:04 PM »

Ugh, so I had to turn in the moment the lead switched?
Sanders can still win if he gets a strong performance in Lexington.

Spoiler alert: He won't.  Sanders will lose Fayette County (Lexington) by about 4,000 votes when the AP finally updates the county, according to Decision Desk HQ.

Just reported. It is 3,000, not 4,000.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2016, 07:48:31 PM »

Back to being very close, though, of course, Jefferson is still outstanding.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2016, 07:51:53 PM »

The margin is 28 votes!
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2016, 07:52:34 PM »

Sanders is ahead by 126, but almost all that is left is Jefferson.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2016, 07:55:34 PM »

Does anyone have a list of which counties aren't 100% in yet?

Besides Jefferson it is, it seems, mostly Henderson and Warren.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2016, 07:59:29 PM »

As a Clinton supporter, it annoys/concerns me how much rural and Conservative Democrats have abandoned her in Appalachia. Why would they vote for a socialist anyway? They don't agree with his policies certainly.

I think the actual question should be, why have so many rural and small town Democrats feel that the Democratic Party has abandoned them?

I spent much of my life in small town and rural Oregon and recall vividly how many lifelong Democrats in Southern Oregon, including many union members in Coos and Douglas county, felt that the Democratic president (Clinton) was taking the side of radical environmentalists versus working people.

Needless to say, the Timber industry and local Republican politicians tried to present the argument as jobs versus the environment, rather than talk frankly about the actual economic situation and why the logging and mill jobs were disappearing.

I see many similarities between the decline of the Timber industry in the PacNW and what is happening currently within Coal Country.

And quite frankly, these are parts of the country where the Unions came in after several generations of blood, sweat, and tears and " Ain't Done Nothing If You Ain't Been Called A Red" doesn't actually hold water with the history of the IWW, ILWU, UMWA, etc...

Socialist is a word that the company bosses and operators have been throwing around for a 100 years in many parts of the country to describe anyone that is a Union Man. Smiley

Especially with Clinton and Trump as the symbols of what their parties stand for, the Democratic party and the Republican party are increasing the upscale and downscale parties respectively. Democrats are the party of the cosmopolitans, the professional class, the white collar voters. Republicans are the party of the blue collar, non-college educated, poor rural America.

I think, it can be formulated more clearly. Democratic Party is, increasingly, the party of diversity. Republican Party is the party of homogeneity.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2016, 08:05:20 PM »

Sanders is over 1,000 votes ahead. Still waiting for Jefferson.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2016, 08:07:13 PM »

Sanders is over 1,000 votes ahead. Still waiting for Jefferson.

Where are you looking? NYT has him up 216 votes.

CNN. Though NYT is also showing this now.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #8 on: May 17, 2016, 08:08:48 PM »

Where have all those new Bernie votes been coming from?

Warren and Henderson have reported in full or nearly so. Though Henderson was marginally for Clinton, Warren was not. Also, the few remaining counties in the east had come in very much for Sanders. Pretty much all that is left is Jefferson.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2016, 08:09:48 PM »


Ah, missed that one.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #10 on: May 17, 2016, 08:13:38 PM »

NYT is still just giving us initial results for Barren.  McCracken and Jefferson appear to be all that's left.

Well, 2 in Warren, 4 in Kenton are also out. What else?
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #11 on: May 17, 2016, 08:14:48 PM »


Suggest Clinton would be gaining a net of about 3,500 votes. Enough for a very narrow win.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #12 on: May 17, 2016, 08:22:05 PM »

I am not sure this is over yet. What is left in Jefferson? Will it go for Clinton?

4 precincts. Changes nothing.

A few precincts have just come in, cutting the lead to under 2,000. But there is, it seems, simply not enough left to change much at this point.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #13 on: May 17, 2016, 08:23:33 PM »

Yeah, only 13 precincts left statewide. Lead is just under 1,900 votes.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #14 on: May 17, 2016, 08:30:19 PM »

For some reason, Pike votes taken out of the total. What is going on?
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #15 on: May 17, 2016, 09:01:41 PM »

Oregon time!
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #16 on: May 17, 2016, 09:05:07 PM »

Have Oregon polls closed or they do in an hour? I'm confused.

I believe they just have.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #17 on: May 17, 2016, 09:06:40 PM »

Many news organizations don't make a call if there's a possibility of a recount.

Do you think there will be a recount?

For what? It does not affect delegate allocation.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #18 on: May 17, 2016, 10:14:48 PM »

NYT isn't giving the precinct numbers.  Grrrr.

they do not have precincts.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #19 on: May 17, 2016, 10:15:18 PM »


This has to be a glitch?
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #20 on: May 17, 2016, 10:16:29 PM »


CNN has corrected this to 50/50.
Logged
ag
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,828


« Reply #21 on: May 17, 2016, 10:21:41 PM »

Sanders will win, but it will not be a big win. 1-1 close split for the night. A low single-digit gain in delegates for Sanders?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.036 seconds with 9 queries.