Special Election megathread (6/11: OH-6, 6/25: CO-4)

[new_patomic]

Probably not a lot of votes in those but in especially right race, who knows, could be critical.

[new_patomic]

https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1562262650033414149?s=20&t=3muCZxuo2rx...
That seems a bit more down to earth, at least

[new_patomic]

I suppose we should just be thankful New York is counting its ballots at all, let alone this quickly. Given its prior track record...

[new_patomic]

https://twitter.com/TKensingtonian/status/1562270607210848256

I feel bad for all the people I see on twitter falling for this lol

[new_patomic]

It should probably give some pause that the formula here for Dem overperformance is (relatively) great turnout in Dem counties overwhelming weaker margins elsewhere. Would be pretty shocking to have similar turnout differential come November.

But lol to the red wave.

[new_patomic]

Honestly, perhaps the GOP needs some cold water splashed in its face.

Shut the f**k up about 2020. Do not advocate for total bans on abortion. Do not say you want Obergefell overturned.

Molinaro did none of those things and he still lost

The party as a whole would have to do this. I doubt it's going to.

I'm sure Blake Masters is gearing up to pivot

Any second now

[new_patomic]

This is the most low tech thing I've ever seen lmao

It's fantastic

This is what local elections should look like

[new_patomic]

Wait did I see that correctly?

Peltola by nearly 5K?

[new_patomic]

I know you can't extrapolate much from this, for obvious reasons and quirks.

But it's hard to imagine that Dems win this if Biden's approval ratings are still in the 30s, either.

[new_patomic]

Inflation is higher than in 2020, people are worse off if we just look at the economy. If this recovery helps though, it could mean that people don't think about it with the 'are you better off than you were four years ago?' cliche but instead just look at if the economy is better than a few months ago.

Americans' short-term memories, even though it's something I often deride, may actually be working to Democrats' benefit this time, so long as economic factors continue in a positive direction.

Gas at $3.50 feels way cheaper when it's coming down from costing $5