The Kavanaugh Effect (user search)
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  The Kavanaugh Effect (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Will Judge Kavanaugh have a substantial impact on the midterm election?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
#3
Unsure
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 68

Author Topic: The Kavanaugh Effect  (Read 1792 times)
new_patomic
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,217


« on: October 03, 2018, 05:37:42 PM »

I think we've gotten some better polls for the GOP the last week or so.

In Republican districts or really Republican states, more so than anywhere else.

While Kavanaugh is even more underwater in terms of popularity he seems to have maintained/increased among Republicans and the Fox News crowd. So if you're Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota this is seemingly a really dangerous issue for you, though if you're say Peter Roskam either no bump or even a backlash? It depends on the polarization of the state/district really.

Of course, this is assuming correlation = causation here. Kavanaugh could just be incidental to any bump.

The question in my mind too would be if this sticks for the weeks after either Kavanaugh has been voted down or confirmed.
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