I think everyone is overreacting. You have to remember this is a state we lost in 2004 by 5%. I was excited to see the numbers in Pinellas before the floor fell, and then when Miami came in I didn't feel good. I think we can remain competitive in Florida, but we need to focus on younger voters, I'd like to see a better Dem campaign infrastructure in the state.
The difference is that Kerry lost the PV by 2 points in 2004, Biden is on track to win it by 6.
I doubt Biden wins the NPV by 6. I think he wins by about 4 but still Dems are not trending well at all in FL.
-2.4 NPV vs. -5 FL (2004) & +~4 NPV vs. -3.4 (2020)
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