Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[LimoLiberal]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455613443957002244

10:00 AM

To be fair, Falls Church met 72% of its 2017 vote at the same time.

[LimoLiberal]

One thing that is becoming clear at this point is that Youngkin is not getting the precipitous Democratic turnout collapse that he likely needs.

My doomer premonition is Youngkin doing unexpectedly well in NoVa like Miami-Dade.

This is my premonition too but it's also exactly how many, many of us felt before 2017. Ed Gillespie had won Loudoun in 2014 and seemed perfect to regain ground in NoVA. And then the returns came in, and I'll never forget this Nate Cohn tweet.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/928059816743964672

Sometimes our premonitions are right. Sometimes a vocal class of center-right Northern Virginia politicos and lobbyists drive a narrative (MS-13, CRT?) that doesn't actually materialize. We'll see in a couple hours.

[LimoLiberal]

Rain clearing out of NoVA just in time for the afternoon rush of TMac soccer moms.

[LimoLiberal]

Do we get exit polls at 5?

[LimoLiberal]

Looks like a Republican blowout coming.

[LimoLiberal]

We still don't know if these numbers are from just Election Day voters or all voters... if this is Election Day voters I am feeling pretty great about Terry's chances

They said on air they include vote by mail, in-person early vote and election day.

[LimoLiberal]

Just realized I forgot to vote. Oh well.

[LimoLiberal]

Youngkin +1/2 is... not terrible from those exit polls. Hopium?

[LimoLiberal]

When Fairfax goes 53-46 for McAuliffe in the early vote and I start to hear "Yo voy a votar... por Donald Trump" from the street...

[LimoLiberal]

If TMac won the Arlington early vote 81-17 there is an exactly 0% chance he won Loudoun's 55-45. Sorry.

[LimoLiberal]

Loudoun is enough to call this for Youngkin.

[LimoLiberal]

The Democratic holds in the HoD are pretty damn impressive. Not one seat lost in Loudoun, PWC. Just one loss in VA Beach. Not one seat lost in suburban Richmond! If it weren't for a freak upset with supercharged Poquoson turnout Democrats would still have control!

[LimoLiberal]

The Democratic holds in the HoD are pretty damn impressive. Not one seat lost in Loudoun, PWC. Just one loss in VA Beach. Not one seat lost in suburban Richmond! If it weren't for a freak upset with supercharged Poquoson turnout Democrats would still have control!

These are some strong, strong incumbents in the suburbs. Gonna be hard to dislodge some of these people with new maps in 2023 (barring a VA Supreme Court gerrymander).