Cruz is more likely to lose than Heitkamp.
*eyeroll*
Cruz is more likely to lose than Baldwin or Brown. But he's in better shape than all of the Romney-state Dems.
In a neutral year? Yes. In a D tsunami? No. Heitkamp is a stronger incumbent than Cruz anyway, and Cook thinks he’s at least more vulnerable than Tester, IIRC.
Cook has Tester at Likely D, Cruz at Likely R, and Heitkamp at Toss-Up.
Don't even try to reason with him. Heitkamp is even one of my favorite senators and I want her to win, but I can't say I won't feel a little bit of schadenfreude when she loses with his attitude.