I think GOP is still going to win in Collin in 2024 no matter who the candidate is, but I think a MAGA candidate could make it very close, Trump only won by 4 pts here, but a generic republican like Cornyn won by 10 points in the same election. So, it all depends.
Trump = 1-2 points
DeSantis or someone more friendly = 5-7 points
Why would a trump type Republican not do well there? It’s not a very liberal type suburb
Collin County is rapidly shifting to the Dems. The city of Plano, the largest city in that county went from
Trump +4.7% in 2016 to
Biden +8.7%.
20162020