The rise and rise of Evan McMullin (formerly Egg McMuffin) (user search)
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  The rise and rise of Evan McMullin (formerly Egg McMuffin) (search mode)
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Author Topic: The rise and rise of Evan McMullin (formerly Egg McMuffin)  (Read 13591 times)
America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
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Posts: 11,445
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -3.48

« on: October 12, 2016, 04:32:45 PM »

This would be a really fun scenario. Would be ironic too if Johnson/Weld AREN'T the most memorable 3rd party ticket this year.
On a side note, do you think people like Chaffetz/Mike Lee/Huntsman/Mitt Romney may endorse McMullin now?
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America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,445
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -3.48

« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2016, 01:03:17 AM »

An interesting thing is to look at Google Trends for how much did people search for the five major presidential candidates in Utah.


Notice the surge Evan McMullin (purple) gets after Trump's recording came out, and especially after this poll. It's even more stark with only 3rd party candidates: (ignore red and blue. I put random unknown asoiaf characters as red and blue to let Johnson and Stein keep their colours.)
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America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,445
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -3.48

« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2016, 08:38:08 AM »

An interesting thing is to look at Google Trends for how much did people search for the five major presidential candidates in Utah.


Notice the surge Evan McMullin (purple) gets after Trump's recording came out, and especially after this poll. It's even more stark with only 3rd party candidates: (ignore red and blue. I put random unknown asoiaf characters as red and blue to let Johnson and Stein keep their colours.)


So McMullin now has more traction than Johnson/Stein combined?  Fantastic if true
Well, it's probably still just a surge because of the excitement from the polls. But if McMullin manages to keep hype about him high by getting endorsements or new polls, he may keep large traction in Utah.
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America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,445
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -3.48

« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2016, 02:18:18 PM »

Like I said in the Monmouth poll thread, I think the folks here claiming that it's "necessary" for him to get certain endorsements in order to at least finish in the top two in Utah are off the mark.  The most important thing is for him to get media exposure, so voters actually know who he is.  That Monmouth poll has a whopping 66% of voters having no opinion of him, yet he's still at 20% support.  The ideal scenario for him is to have his strong poll #s generate a bunch of news stories about him in Utah, leading much/most of that 66% to become aware of his existence, and then for a respectable chunk of those people to decide to vote for him.

I mean, Trump is at ~70% unfavorable in Utah, so there are a lot of potential voters for McMullin to pick off.  That can happen even without any advertising or endorsements.


That might be true, but endorsements from top Utah politicians or Mitt Romney would really help in generating these news.
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