peterthlee
Jr. Member
Posts: 568
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« on: November 12, 2016, 12:04:43 AM » |
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No. In the run-up of the election day, the so-called quality pollsters (like Quinnipiac, Monmouth, etc) showed a comeback for Clinton at around 3-6 pts. This could be a factor, but not an important one. The main reason is increased white turnout in rural states + dissatisfaction among grassroots with Obama's policies + shy Trump effect in polls (so Clinton would overestimate herself's chances to win) + decreased black turnout as Obama was no longer on the ballots + some swing state people would eye for a drastic change of the republic's direction. In addition, Clinton was not as 'high-energy' as Obama and Trump from what I've seen in the campaign photos. It is unfair to point the sole finger to Comey, though he did damage Clinton's campaign by a little.
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