NBC/WSJ/Marist: NH-Clinton +9 NV-Tied (user search)
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  NBC/WSJ/Marist: NH-Clinton +9 NV-Tied (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ/Marist: NH-Clinton +9 NV-Tied  (Read 3190 times)
BoAtlantis
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Posts: 791
« on: October 26, 2016, 04:00:23 PM »
« edited: October 26, 2016, 04:19:32 PM by BoAtlantis »
https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/791383653301583872

NH
Clinton 45
Trump 36
Johnson 10

NV
Clinton 43
Trump 43
Johnson 10

NH Breakdown

https://www.scribd.com/document/329012099/NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-New-Hampshire-Annotated-Questionnaire-October-2016

NV Breakdown

https://www.scribd.com/document/329012100/NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-Nevada-Annotated-Questionnaire-October-2016
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BoAtlantis
Jr. Member
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Posts: 791
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2016, 04:03:26 PM »
Quote from: matthew27 on October 26, 2016, 04:01:47 PM
NH looks good but NV is unbelievable based on the early vote.

I wouldn't worry about NV. Most polls underestimate Democrats there.
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BoAtlantis
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Posts: 791
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2016, 04:07:30 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 26, 2016, 04:05:03 PM
Why does Nevada polling always suck?

I read that it's because it has a lot of workers that work night shifts in casinos and hotels.

Pollsters have hard time capturing likely voters that skew Dems.
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BoAtlantis
Jr. Member
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Posts: 791
« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2016, 04:11:26 PM »
https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics

"Among the 87% of likely voters who haven't voted yet, it's Trump 46%, Clinton 42%

In NV, Clinton leads Trump 60%-35% among those who have *already* voted (13% of likely voters) -- per new NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of NV"
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