WI-SEN 2022 Megathread: Who stole my cheese? (user search)
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  WI-SEN 2022 Megathread: Who stole my cheese? (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-SEN 2022 Megathread: Who stole my cheese?  (Read 69065 times)
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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« on: August 03, 2022, 10:01:28 AM »

Quote

I really doubt the elderly in Wisconsin would like this at all, this is an absolutely toxic position to take.  

Attacking entitlements before an election can be a death sentence.

Did Johnson hold different positions in 2010 and 2016?

For sure not helpful, I just remain skeptical whether this unseats him in an environment like this is probably going to be.

But what is that environment though? People need to stop assuming this is going to be some automatic red wave when this year seems incredibly evident that a lot of these races are going to be more contextual and situational than overarching.

Well, 2016 was still kind of neutral year and RoJo went on winning regardless by a few points, contrary to polls. For sure I'm not in the "muh 2016 and 2020 polls were off" camp, though fundamentals tend to favor him. Even if we assume 2022 will only be a red ripple or somewhat neutral. Biden just barely won WI and even Walker, in the 2018 blue wave, still came very close. And Barnes, as much as I'd like to see him winning, is not exactly as strong as Fetterman for example.

Just don't want to get my hopes up early. Definitely would enjoy to see Johnson losing. He's a horrible senator.

I get that. Johnson has incumbency going for him which is powerful. It just really feels as if people are incredibly overestimating him as a candidate, even in a harder year for Ds.

Part of the reason why is the disappointment of 2016 where Feingold lost against Johnson despite the polls and it wasn't even a nailbiter. Johnson overperformed Trump in terms of margin, although Trump's good performance in WI definitely did help Johnson in 2016.
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