MO-SEN 2022 megathread: ERIC (user search)
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  MO-SEN 2022 megathread: ERIC (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-SEN 2022 megathread: ERIC  (Read 37004 times)
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,833
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« on: March 16, 2021, 07:22:46 AM »

Claire isn’t having it with the Lincoln Project’s delusion about purple MO.

https://twitter.com/clairecmc/status/1370003483949154305?s=21


Ok but Claire, it's impossible for a D to win this seat.
No it's not.

Doug Jones like to have a word with you about how impossible it was to win Alabama for god's sake.

It's how she said it. It's a stretch to call it a swing state, but it's not impossible to win that seat, but it will require a perfect storm and the perfect circumstances, just like for Doug Jones in 2017.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,833
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2021, 11:52:52 AM »

No it's not.

Doug Jones like to have a word with you about how impossible it was to win Alabama for god's sake.

It's how she said it. It's a stretch to call it a swing state, but it's not impossible to win that seat, but it will require a perfect storm and the perfect circumstances, just like for Doug Jones in 2017.

Once again: maybe in a special, sure, but this ain't a special, & even in the event of the GOP nominating a Roy Moore, regular midterm turnout would probably be enough to push the GOP over-the-line.

Three things
A midterm is not a presidential election.
Secondly, candidate quality matters
Thirdly, Missouri ain't Alabama.

I think it's a bold take to say we can't win in some state, because of ... , because things aren't permanent and not set in stone. Things can always change. Sure, it's unlikely, at least in the short-term and whatever happens, the GOP is favoured, but it's not "impossible".
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