Predict the margin in each of the following states:

[SaneDemocrat]

AK: R +12
IA: R +14
OH: R +12
ME2: R +11
TX: R +8
FL: R +10
NC: R +5
GA: R +1
AZ: R +2
WI: R +4
PA: R +3
NV: R +4
MI: R +1
NE2: D +3
MN: D +3
NH: D +4
ME: D +5
VA: D +5
NM: D +6
CO: D +13
NJ: D +12
OR: D +13
IL: D +13
DE: D +16
WA: D +16

No.

Maybe if it’s Youngkin vs AOC

[SaneDemocrat]

- Alaska: Trump +4
- Iowa: Trump +9
- Ohio: Trump +5
- ME 2: Trump +8
- Texas: Trump +5
- Florida: Trump +7
- North Carolina: Trump by less than .5
- Georgia: Biden by less than .5
- Arizona: Biden +3
- Wisconsin: Biden +4
- Pennsylvania: Biden +6
- Nevada: Biden +2
- Michigan: Biden +7
- NE 2: Biden +8
- Minnesota: Biden +9
- New Hampshire: Biden +10
- Maine: Biden +10
- Virginia: Biden +10
- New Mexico: Biden +12
- Colorado: Biden +20 (yup)
- New Jersey: Biden +20
- Oregon: Biden +18
- Illinois: Biden +18
- Delaware: Biden +22
- Washington state: Biden +24

You are bullish in PA

[SaneDemocrat]

- Alaska: R+5
- Iowa: R+12
- Ohio R+6
- Maine's second congressional district: R+3
- Texas: R+2
- Florida: R+11
- North Carolina: D+1
- Georgia: D+3
- Arizona: D+4
- Wisconsin: D+2
- Pennsylvania: D+4
- Nevada: D+2
- Michigan: D+5
- Nebraska's second congressional district: D+10
- Minnesota: D+9
- New Hampshire: D+10
- Maine: D+13
- Virginia: D+11
- New Mexico: D+10
- Colorado: D+20
- New Jersey: D+17
- Oregon: D+18
- Illinois: D+17
- Delaware: D+20
- Washington state: D+20
[/quote
Other than Florida,great

[SaneDemocrat]

- Alaska (3): Trump +2
- Iowa (6): Trump +12
- Ohio (17): Trump +12
- Maine's second congressional district (1): Trump +6
- Texas (40): Trump +7
- Florida (30): Trump +12
- North Carolina (16): Trump +3
- Georgia (16): Biden +0
- Arizona (11): Biden +1
- Wisconsin (10): Trump +2
- Pennsylvania (19): Biden +4
- Nevada (6): Biden +2
- Michigan (15): Biden +9
- Nebraska's second congressional district (1): Biden +3
- Minnesota (10): Biden +6
- New Hampshire (4): Biden +11
- Maine (2 at-large EVs): Biden +10
- Virginia (13): Biden +7
- New Mexico (5): Biden +10
- Colorado (10): Biden +14
- New Jersey (14): Biden +9
- Oregon (8 ): Biden +15
- Illinois (19): Biden +16
- Delaware (3): Biden +17
- Washington state (12): Biden +18

Why do you think Jersey will be that close?

[SaneDemocrat]

ASSUMING A D+3.2 NATIONAL ENVIRONMENT FOR POTUS:

- Alaska (3): Trump +10.3
- Iowa (6): Trump +5.0
- Ohio (17): Trump +4.7
- Maine 2nd CD (1): Trump +6.6
- Texas (40): Trump +1.9
- Florida (30): Trump +4.7
- North Carolina (16): Biden +0.1
- Georgia (16): Biden +0.8
- Arizona (11): Biden +2.1
- Wisconsin (10): Biden +5.0
- Pennsylvania (19): Biden +5.4
- Nevada (6): Biden +1.1
- Michigan (15): Biden +5.1
- Nebraska 2nd CD (1): Biden +5.7
- Minnesota (10): Biden +9.2
- New Hampshire (4): Biden +7.8
- Maine (2 at-large EVs): Biden +8.8
- Virginia (13): Biden +9.6
- New Mexico (5): Biden +11.0
- Colorado (10): Biden +13.6
- New Jersey (14): Biden +15.5
- Oregon (8 ): Biden +15.0
- Illinois (19): Biden +15.7
- Delaware (3): Biden +18.5
- Washington state (12): Biden +16.4

Where is Trump gaining?