Turkey local elections 2024

[Mike88]

Created this thread as I haven't found one. The elections are on Sunday, 31 March 2024.

Anyone has any insights on how the campaign went and if Erdogan could lose more ground, compared with 2019, due to the economic crisis in Turkey?

[Mike88]

The opposition alliance has fractured, and there’s a danger that the AKP could gain a few municipalities (e.g. Antalya, Hatay) due to this. In terms of the two major prizes, the CHP look favoured to hold onto Ankara, whilst Istanbul will be a nailbiter. Imamoglu (CHP) has led the vast majority of recent polls, but by very small margins - a repeat of the unwelcome surprise in the Presidential election last year is certainly a possibility.

Thanks for the insight. The Turkish wiki page has a good summary of opinion polls by city:

2024 Türkiye yerel seçimleri için yapılan anketler

[Mike88]

52.72% counted:

37.8% CHP
36.8% AKP
  5.9% Dem Parti
  5.3% RP
  3.8% MHP
  3.3% IYI Parti
  7.1% Others

These results are beyond surprising. Wow!!

[Mike88]

Nationwide results, 89.83% counted:

37.3% CHP
35.8% AKP
  6.0% YRP
  5.6% Dem Parti
  4.9% MHP
  3.7% IYI Parti
  6.7% Others

77.6% Turnout

[Mike88]

Erdogan just spoke. For those who understand Turkish, what was the tone of it?

[Mike88]

Nationwide results, 97.06% counted:

37.6% CHP
35.6% AKP
  6.1% YRP
  5.6% Dem Parti
  4.9% MHP
  3.8% IYI Parti
  1.6% ZP
  1.1% SP
  3.7% Others

78.2% Turnout

Istanbul, 97.66% counted:

51.0% CHP
39.7% AKP
  2.4% YRP
  2.0% Dem Parti
  1.8% ZP
  3.1% Others

78.8% Turnout

Ankara, 95.31% counted:

60.1% CHP
31.9% AKP
  2.8% YRP
  1.3% ZP
  3.9% Others

78.7% Turnout

İzmir, 97.46% counted:

48.8% CHP
37.2% AKP
  4.0% Dem Parti
  3.6% IYI Parti
  2.1% ZP
  4.3% Others

78.4% Turnout

Hatay, 99.36% counted:

44.5% AKP
43.9% CHP
  2.6% YRP
  2.0% TIP
  1.8% IYI Parti
  1.2% ZP
  1.1% Dem Parti
  2.9% Others

75.6% Turnout

[Mike88]

I heard the CHP won control of the Ankara city council. can anyone confirm?

Yep: (compared with 2019)

49.4% CHP (+11.5)
28.1% AKP (-12.9)
  4.8% YRP (new)
  4.7% MHP (-2.4)
  3.8% ZP (new)
  2.9% IYI Parti (-4.3)
  1.3% BBP (-0.8 )
  1.0% Dem Parti (new)
  0.8% TIP (new)
  3.2% Others

[Mike88]

I’m trying to find Istanbul, Izmir, and Antalya council as well

Istanbul provincial council: (compared with 2019)

45.7% CHP (+7.2)
38.2% AKP (-7.4)
  3.8% YRP (new)
  3.6% ZP (new)
  1.7% Dem Parti (new)
  1.5% IYI Parti (-2.0)
  1.0% SAADET (-1.6)
  0.8% TIP (new)
  0.6% MHP (-1.6)
  3.1% Others

Izmir provincial council:

48.2% CHP (-4.5)
31.0% AKP (-4.9)
  4.5% Dem Parti (new)
  4.0% IYI Parti (+2.1)
  3.3% ZP (new)
  2.3% MHP (nc)
  1.4% TIP (new)
  1.2% YRP (new)
  0.6% DP (+0.2)
  3.5% Others

Antalya provincial council:

46.4% CHP (+8.5)
27.4% AKP (-7.0)
  6.2% IYI Parti (-3.2)
  6.0% MHP (-3.0)
  2.9% Dem Parti (new)
  2.5% ZP (new)
  1.7% YRP (new)
  1.5% DP (+0.3)
  0.9% BBP (-0.2)
  4.5% Others