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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #75 on: February 11, 2020, 02:21:38 PM »

Euthanasia debate: Conservative forces are pushing for a national referendum.

Many conservative groups and the Catholic Church are pushing for a referendum to be held on the matter of euthanasia. The probably victory for the Yes side in Parliament, is making many rightwing groups to defend a referendum as the only way to stop the legalization of euthanasia. The PSD will also discuss a possible support for a referendum, even though leader Rui Rio isn't very favourable of it, but has said he will accept the party's base choice.

The media is also reporting that the President of the Republic, Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, is also very concerned about a possible Yes victory in Parliament and also wants a referendum.

IMO, if a referendum does happen, a similar situation like the 1998 abortion referendum could happen: a majority of the population in favour, but low interest and low turnout will favour the most motivated voter base, the No side. We'll see.

I think you could be underestimating how much the country has moved to the left, in terms of social issues, in the past 20 or so years. It's a similar situation to Ireland in my view, in that we also have a history richly influenced by Catholicism, but people no longer hold the conservative values that usually come with it, as seen in their referendums.

I agree with what you said, but my point is that a referendum will generate, very likely, quite low turnout and the decision will be made by the side that is most motivated. The majority of voters, according to polling, is in favour of euthanasia legalization, but the topic of euthanasia isn't very exciting for the vast majority of voters and will probably won't generate a lot of interest. Therefore, I believe a referendum is a waste of money and time as Parliament has all the legitimacy to vote and decide on this matter.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #76 on: February 13, 2020, 02:10:22 PM »

Euthanasia poll done by Egas Moniz Institute:

Q1: Are you in favour of the legalization of Euthanasia?

50.5% Yes
25.6% No
23.9% Undecided

Q2: What should be the best way to decide the legalization?

63.7% Referendum
23.0% Don't know
13.3% Parliament approval

Q3: What's your degree of info on Euthanasia?

56.0% Moderate
22.1% Low or none
21.6% High

Poll conducted between late December 2019 and early January 2020. Polled 1,695 voters.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #77 on: February 14, 2020, 02:07:00 PM »
« Edited: February 14, 2020, 08:41:58 PM by Mike88 »

GfK/Metris poll for Expresso newspaper/SIC TV:

Vote share %: (compared with the 2019 election results)

33% PS (-3)

28% PSD (nc)
  9% BE (-1)
  8% CDU (+2)
  6% CHEGA (+5)
  4% CDS (nc)
  3% PAN (nc)
  2% IL (+1)
  1% Livre (nc)
  1% Others (-3)
  5% Blank/Invalid (nc)

Popularity ratings: (in a scale between 0 and 10)

8.1 Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (+0.5)
5.6 António Costa (+0.1)
4.6 Catarina Martins (-0.2)
4.4 Rui Rio (+0.7)
4.3 Jerónimo de Sousa (nc)
3.3 André Silva (-0.4)
3.2 André Ventura
2.7 João Cotrim Figueiredo
2.1 Joacine Katar Moreira

Government's job approval:

57% Approve (+7)
34% Disapprove (-3)
  9% Undecided (-4)

Poll conducted between 22 January and 5 February 2020. Polled 800 voters by secret ballot. MoE of 3.5%.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #78 on: February 14, 2020, 08:30:24 PM »


around 2 years and half ago, you writed:

PNR is the only party that publicly hails Salazar or fells nostalgic about the Estado Novo regime.
 
Basically every time the PSD or PSD/CDS are in power, the leftwing parties, and some times the PS, portrait PSD and CDS as the "heirs" of Salazar. But no one really buys that. It's just stupid.


So was not full true
CDS has always had a small group of voters from the rightwing that, yes, had some good things to say about Salazar. However, that never came to the surface and damaged CDS image, as the party tried to sell, successfully for a considerable period, a moderate image. But these problems are a proof of the scale of the disaster CDS is in right now. For years, the party tried to be a "small catch all" party on the right, being appealing to moderate centrist voters, and at the same time trying to hold on to their conservative base. The 2019 elections blew everything apart. The arrival of CHEGA meant that many CDS voters now had a party that really defended what they believed in, and many ditched CDS. Now, CDS is deeply divided on their future. The new leadership, formed by many people from the rightwing part of the party, wants to confront CHEGA and win back their old electorate, even if that means using the same tools as CHEGA. But, the other faction believes that Ventura and CHEGA are populists and the CDS should never try to become a copy of CHEGA. Abel Matos Santos posts are quite old, from 2016 and 2017, just around the time I wrote that, and he was just a simple CDS member with ideas the national leadership would never accept or tolerate.

When I wrote that, I wouldn't have imagine how divided the rightwing in Portugal would be by 2020, and how damaged and at risk CDS was.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #79 on: February 15, 2020, 08:41:22 AM »


around 2 years and half ago, you writed:

PNR is the only party that publicly hails Salazar or fells nostalgic about the Estado Novo regime.
 
Basically every time the PSD or PSD/CDS are in power, the leftwing parties, and some times the PS, portrait PSD and CDS as the "heirs" of Salazar. But no one really buys that. It's just stupid.


So was not full true
It is true. AMS had to resign because of how outlandish those remarks were for CDS. I don't think even Chega would tolerate them.
Well, CHEGA is having some problems with the far-right groups within the party. Ventura is trying to stop the proliferation of some of these groups in CHEGA, but it's a difficult task.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #80 on: February 16, 2020, 07:34:37 AM »

Local by-election in Mindelo parish, Vila do Conde, Porto district today:

Around 3,300 voters are called, today, to elect a new parish assembly in Mindelo parish, Vila do Conde. The former PS minority cabinet fell after disagreements between them and the opposition, which made the management of the parish impossible. For this by-election, 6 lists will be on the ballot: PS, PSD, CDS, BE, CDU and an Independent. In terms of electoral history, Mindelo is a swing parish, where the PS and the PSD are always very close. In the 2017 local elections, there was a 3-way race between PS, Independent and PSD, while in the 2019 general elections, the PSD won with a comfortable margin:

2017 local election:

26.2% PS , 3 seats
25.5% Independent, 3
24.3% PSD/CDS, 2
14.9% Independent, 1
  2.6% BE
  1.9% CDU
  4.7% Blank/Invalid

63.1% Turnout

2019 general election:

37.3% PSD
29.1% PS
10.0% BE
  4.7% CDS
  3.7% PAN
  3.2% CDU
  2.2% IL
  1.4% Livre
  1.2% RIR
  1.2% CHEGA
  0.5% Alliance
  5.5% Others/Invalid

60.1% Turnout

This race is too early to call. It could be a PS hold, an Independent gain or a PSD gain. We'll see.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #81 on: February 16, 2020, 05:28:34 PM »
« Edited: February 16, 2020, 05:54:24 PM by Mike88 »

Mindelo parish by-election: Independent gain from PS.

Vote share %: (compared with the 2017 elections)

42.2% Independent (+16.7), 5 seats (+2)
23.2% PSD (-1.1), 2 (nc)
21.9% PS (-4.3), 2 (-1)
  6.7% BE (+4.1), 0 (nc)
  4.2% CDS*, 0
  1.9% CDU (nc), 0 (nc)
  3.9% Blank/Invalid (-0.7)

47.3% Turnout (-15.9)

*CDS ran in a coalition with the PSD in 2017.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #82 on: February 17, 2020, 02:54:27 PM »

The "Marega case" has entered in full on the political scene, as all political leaders have reacted to the case where FCPorto player, Moussa Marega, was subject to racist slurs during a match in Guimarães.

All political leaders are reacting to the case that is making headlines in Portugal, right now. The PM, the leader of the opposition and all other party leaders have reacted to this case. The PM António Costa and PSD leader Rui Rio reacted on twitter:


Quote
Any and all acts of racism are criminal and intolerable. No human being should be subjected to this humiliation. No one can remain indifferent. I condemn any and all acts of racism, under any circumstances.

Total solidarity with #Marega, who in the field proved to be not only a great player, but also a great citizen.
#no to racism


Quote
What happened yesterday in the Guimarães-Porto game has obvious racist outlines that clash with our values; but it highlights, above all, primary behaviors, responsible for an intolerable increase in violence in sport that a civilized society cannot tolerate.

The only political leader not condemning the case is CHEGA leader André Ventura. After he downplayed the case and called many people "hypocrites", he's criticizing António Costa' reaction to this case:
Quote
It was this hypocrisy that I was referring to.
The Prime Minister immediately sympathizes with the football player, but we have never seen him do this in relation to police officers, teachers or doctors who are beaten, insulted and humiliated every day.
#sindrome_Joacine

The foreign affairs minister is also worried about this case, as he says it will damage Portugal's image abroad.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #83 on: February 18, 2020, 07:03:14 PM »

Venezuela-Portugal crisis: President and the Government calls "unacceptable" Venezuela action to forbid TAP air flights to that country.


Quote
Portugal and Venezuela are in the most serious diplomatic crisis ever

The decision of the Venezuela government of forbidding TAP Portugal air flights to Venezuela is being received with anger by the government and the President of the Republic. Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa says that the actions of Venezuela are "unacceptable" and they need to be repudiated, adding that this is the same view as the government. The foreign minister has also repudiate the decision and said that TAP didn't do anything wrong and called, like the President, unacceptable the decision.

The Venezuelan government accuses TAP of helping to transport explosives to the country and demands Portugal to accept Nicolás Maduro as the rightfull President of Venezuela. Around 500,000 Venezuelan citizens have Portuguese ancestry.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #84 on: February 19, 2020, 06:24:01 PM »

Euthanasia debate: Divisions on the PSD as the legalization is set to be approved tomorrow:


Quote
Assisted death: Euthanasia has almost certain approval and causes controversy in the PSD

The euthanasia vote is to be held tomorrow and the approval is almost a certainty. The PS will vote overwhelmingly in favour, although some MPs, 11 at least, will abstain or vote against. In the PSD, there is divisions. The party is divided on the topic itself and on the question of the referendum. Although the majority of the caucus will vote against, PSD leader, Rui Rio will vote in favour. Plus, some PSD MPs are forging a petition to ask for a referendum, something Rui doesn't want and there are already some PSD MPs that have retracted their support for the petition.

The Catholic Church, medical associations and other movements are asking for a nationwide referendum on Euthanasia, and a petition, promoted by the church, has already 40,000 signatures, and the leaders of the petition believe that by the end of the month, they will have enough signatures, 60,000 minimum, to force a debate on a referendum in Parliament.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #85 on: February 20, 2020, 03:15:02 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2020, 03:20:50 PM by Mike88 »

The petitioners can force a debate, but will there be enough votes to force euthanasia to a referendum?

There's almost zero chances of a referendum being held, because the PS is against it and if you add PS+BE, you have 127 votes, well above the 116 necessary for a referendum. PAN is also against a referendum. So, yeah, they can force a debate but the outcome is already written in the walls.

Now, the vote in Parliament was held this afternoon and all 5 bills to legalize euthanasia were approved:


Quote
Euthanasia approved in Parliament

PS bill: 127 in favour; 86 against; 10 abstentions

BE bill: 124 in favour; 85 against; 14 abstentions

PAN bill: 121 in favour; 86 against; 16 abstentions

PEV bill: 114 in favour; 86 against; 23 abstentions

IL bill: 114 in favour; 85 against; 24 abstentions

The 5 bills will now go to the Parliamentary committee of constitutional affairs to discuss and draft a final bill to be later approved by Parliament and sent to the President of the Republic. What Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa will do is also a big question: Will he veto the bill and sent to the Constitutional Court? Some pundits believe Marcelo will veto the bill. We'll see.

Also during today, two new polls were unveiled that show the level of support of Euthanasia in the electorate:

Multidados poll:

Q1: Are in favour of the legalization of euthanasia?

73.4% Yes
26.6% No

Q2: Do you believe a referendum on this matter should be held?

80.8% Yes
19.2% No

ICS poll: (Poll conducted in the post-2019 election survey)

Q: Are in favour of the legalization of euthanasia?

43% Yes
28% No
29% Undecided
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #86 on: February 21, 2020, 02:14:33 PM »

Intercampus poll for CMTV/CM newspaper:

Vote share %:

31.1% PS (-1.7)
23.8% PSD (-2.0)
13.2% BE (+1.3)
  6.9% CHEGA (+0.7)
  6.3% CDU (+0.1)
  5.4% PAN (-0.6)
  3.5% CDS (+1.6)
  2.9% IL (+0.6)
  0.8% Livre (-0.9)
  0.8% Others(-0.5)
  5.2% Blank/Invalid (+1.3)

Poll conducted between 11 and 17 February 2020. Polled 614 voters. MoE of 4.00%.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #87 on: February 22, 2020, 01:21:58 PM »

Impasse in the selection of judges for the Constitutional Court could hurt the chances of Euthanasia passing in the court.


Quote
Constitutional Court: Tensions have never been greater between PS and BE

The election of two new judges for the Constitutional Court has turned into a big mess. The PS nominated two candidates: Vitalino Canas, former PS spokesperson during José Sócrates leadership, and Clemente Lima, former judge in the Superior Court of Justice. But, these nominations are being very badly received, particularly Vitalino Canas nomination. BE is furious because the PS didn't talk to them about possible candidates, and the PSD will not officially support neither of the candidates, meaning that the election of these two PS nominees could be in jeopardy.

This impasse in the Constitutional Court could also hurt the chances of Euthanasia passing in the Court, if it's sent to the Court. The current composition is 4 center-left judges, 6 center-right judges and 1 centrist, which makes the outcome of the Euthanasia bill widely in doubt.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #88 on: February 23, 2020, 07:01:32 AM »

GfK/Metris poll on the Health Services in Portugal for Expresso/SIC TV:

Q1: What's the biggest issue facing the country right now?

34% Healthcare (+7)
16% Jobs/Wages (nc)
16% Corruption (+3)
  9% The Economy (-6)
  6% Education (+1)
19% Other issues (-5)

Q2: How do you rate the overall quality of healthcare services in Portugal? (in a scale between 0 and 10)

Overall: 6.1

Men: 6.1
Women: 6.1

North: 6.5
Center: 6.0
Lisbon: 6.2
Alentejo: 6.1
Algarve: 3.5

Q3: Regardless of its use, if you had a medical emergency, which service would you prefer?

71% Public hospital
16% Private hospital
11% Health center
  2% Private practice

Q4: Rate your confidence in the following institutions and agents (in a scale between 0 and 10)

7.3 Nurses
7.2 Doctors
6.9 Private hospitals
6.6 Health centers
6.5 Public hospitals

Q5: To solve the issue of waiting lists in the NHS, what should be the solution?

76% The State needs to invest more on the NHS
18% The State should partner more with the private sector
  6% Undecided

Poll conducted between 22 January and 5 February 2020. Polled 800 voters by secret ballot. MoE of 3.5%.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #89 on: February 24, 2020, 03:38:17 AM »
« Edited: February 24, 2020, 03:45:38 AM by Mike88 »

Intercampus poll on the 2021 Presidential election for CMTV/CM newspaper:

Vote share %: (compared with the last poll)

58.5% Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa (-10.0)
  9.3% André Ventura (+0.6)
  8.8% Ana Gomes (new)
  4.6% Marisa Matias (-2.7)
  2.6% Jerónimo de Sousa (-0.6)
  2.4% Cristina Ferreira (new)
  1.3% Carlos César (-0.3)
12.5% Others/Undecided (+1.9)

Poll conducted between 11 and 17 February 2020. Polled 614 voters. MoE of 4.00%.

Note: Carlos César, Jerónimo de Sousa, Marisa Matias, Ana Gomes and Cristina Ferreira are hypothetical candidates for the moment.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #90 on: February 25, 2020, 03:51:51 PM »

PS nominee for the Constitutional Court, Vitalino Canas, will likely be rejected as PSD will vote against him.


Quote
PSD will reject Vitalino Canas in the Constitutional Court.

The PS nominee for the Constitutional Court, Vitalino Canas, will be, very likely, rejected by Parliament. The PSD is very uncomfortable with the name and Rio has decided to not support the name proposed by the PS. The vote for Constitutional judges needs to have a 2/3 majority, but Vitalino Canas only has the votes of the PS, and even here many MPs are quite unhappy with his nomination. BE, PCP and IL have also announced they will vote against him. The other PS nominee is in doubt, however.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #91 on: February 26, 2020, 06:06:19 PM »

New Lisbon airport: Change of a current law that allows city halls to veto projects, is rejected by the PSD:

Quote
Montijo Airport. PSD reaffirms: "We're not available to change the law"

Quote
Pedro Nuno Santos says that without a majority in Parliament, there will no airport in Montijo. "There's no drama"

The new Lisbon airport saga continues. This time, the government wants to change a law that allows city halls to veto projects. The proposed new Lisbon airport, is approved by the mayor of Montijo (PS) but rejected by the mayors of Seixal and Moita, both from PCP. This law is delaying the project, and the government only realized it now. The government tried to woo the PSD into their side, but Rui Rio has rejected the proposed change by the government. Even in the PS the idea isn't very popular, as deputy leader, Ana Catarina Mendes, is saying that laws should not be changed in the middle of the process. The government, by the voice of minister Pedro Nuno Santos, is now downplaying the case, after last week demanding responsibility from the PSD.

This is another episode in the long case of the new Lisbon airport. The proposed airport in Montijo, has strong opposition from engineers, environmentalists and politicians as the two main criticisms of the locations is that in 30 years it could be flooded by the Tagus river, and it's close to one of Portugal's most important bird reserve.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #92 on: February 27, 2020, 03:05:00 PM »

Controversial CHEGA bill that proposes chemical castration for sexual offenders will not be voted in Parliament by decision of Speaker Ferro Rodrigues:


Quote
Ferro Rodrigues decides that Chega's bill on chemical castration will not be discussed in plenary.

Speaker Ferro Rodrigues has decided to cancel the vote on a bill, proposed by CHEGA, that would allow chemical castration for sexual offenders. The Speaker made this decision after the Parliamentary Committee of Constitutional Affairs ruled that the bill was unconstitutional. But this decision isn't unanimous. BE, CDS and, to some extent, the PSD didn't saw with good eyes this decision by Ferro Rodrigues. PS, PCP and Joacine Katar Moreira voted in favour of the cancellation of the vote.

BE is against the cancellation of the vote as they say the committee doesn't rule on the Constitutionality of bills, and they add that skinping this vote and debate, some details of the policy will not be discussed and they should. The PSD, although they abstained in the vote, are also in line with BE on the criticism the the Committee doesn't have powers and that this could open the door to more "vetoes" on votes.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #93 on: February 28, 2020, 02:47:17 PM »
« Edited: February 28, 2020, 03:12:39 PM by Mike88 »

Ferro Rodrigues is only helping Chega with these antics.

It's a bad decision as it creates a precedent for future bad decisions. If some party, in the future, proposes a bill that there's doubt of its constitutionality and the Speaker in charge is from the opposite political colour, the Speaker can argue that it cannot be voted, as there is a precedent. The CHEGA bill is a mess, but it should be discussed and all of its details should have been exposed in the debate.

Also, today, the PS nominees for the Constitutional Court were rejected by Parliament, and even some PS MPs voted against:


Quote
Everything rejected. Parliament rejects Vitalino Canas for the TC and Correia de Campos for the CES:

The vote for the PS nominees for the Constitutional Court resulted in the rejection of all the nominees, as expected. The PS nominees had just 93 votes in favour and 126 blank/invalid. The nominees needed 2/3 of the MPs to be elected. The vote was by secret ballot, but the outcome as expected. However, looking at the number it seems that even some PS MPs voted against the nominees proposed by their party.

The PS is quite upset with the result, accusing Parliament of blocking the normal function of institutions and democracy and they thought that there was a minimal consensus in the names. The PS, however, hasn't confirmed if they will propose the same names again.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #94 on: February 28, 2020, 03:06:34 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2020, 05:21:52 PM by Mike88 »

Aximage poll for JE newspaper:

Vote share %:

35.1% PS
26.1% PSD
  7.7% BE
  5.4% CDU
  4.3% CHEGA
  4.1% PAN
  2.5% IL
  2.1% CDS
  0.7% Livre
  6.7% Others/Invalid
  5.3% Undecided

Popularity ratings: (in a scale between 0 and 20)

10.4 António Costa (-0.4)
  9.7 Jerónimo de Sousa (-0.9)
  9.4 Catarina Martins (-1.0)
  9.3 Rui Rio (+0.1)
  8.1 André Ventura (-1.3)
  7.9 João Cotrim Figueiredo (-0.3)
  7.5 André Silva (-2.0)
  3.5 Joacine Katar Moreira (-1.5)

Poll conducted between 14 and 18 February 2020.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #95 on: February 29, 2020, 12:39:59 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2020, 03:29:36 PM by Mike88 »

Interesting article done by pollster Pedro Magalhães, which leads the team behind the Expresso/SIC polls, on the CHEGA electorate: in the latest SIC/Expresso poll:

Quote
Who wants to vote for CHEGA?

Who votes for the radical right? In the rest of Europe, a kind of "robot portrait" of its voters was formed over time. CHEGAS's is not the same.

Who votes for the radical right? In the rest of Europe, where these parties have tripled their vote in the last two decades and started to be studied, a kind of "robot portrait" of their voters has been formed over time: men, young people, with low education, workers, unemployed or small entrepreneurs or traders. Men, because women reject the radical right's anti-feminism. Young people because they are less connected to established parties. Low-educated workers or unemployed, because they are more vulnerable and feeling a threat in the competition of immigrants in the labor market. Small landowners, because they are conservative, concerned with "law and order" and they are also potential victims of the current economic transformation.

The question now arises in Portugal, after the election of André Ventura and the sudden rise of CHEGA in the most recent polls, including this week's ICS / ISCTE poll. But the answer, even with all the care that must be taken by a small sample, defies the "robot portrait". Half of the voters who intend to vote for CHEGA are women. Between 18 and 24 years of age, the party barely exists, and it is only between 25 and 44 years old that we find a disproportionate support. One in five of CHEGA's current voters have a college degree and more than a third have completed secondary education, above the average education of Portuguese adults. Moreover, it's among these, and not among the less educated, that André Ventura's performance is best (or least poorly) evaluated.

CHEGA is also not particularly successful with small business owners and traders, a segment where the PSD continues to be the best positioned. And while more than a third of those who intend to vote for CDU or PS are (or were) workers, less than 10% of CHEGA voters have this characteristic. The occupational segment in which CHEGA stands out the most is that of office employees: non-manual workers with some qualifications, but without significant power over people or resources in their workplaces. And it is easier to find them in big cities than in the rural world, and in Greater Lisbon than elsewhere.

(...)
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #96 on: March 01, 2020, 06:44:55 AM »

2021 Presidential elections: André Ventura, CHEGA leader, officially launches his campaign for the presidency in a rally in Portalegre city:


Quote
André Ventura presents his candidacy for Belém and defends the creation of the "fourth Republic"

André Ventura, CHEGA leader, officially launched his campaign for the January 2021 presidential elections in a rally of around 500 supporters in Portalegre city, capital of the district that gave the highest share of the vote for CHEGA in the 2019 elections, 2.7%. In his speech, he lashed out against Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa and António Costa, accusing Marcelo of accepting corruption and that he closes his eyes in many issues. He also criticized the current Constitution saying "it doesn't serve the country anymore", adding that a new one is needed and the establishment of a "fourth republic".
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #97 on: March 04, 2020, 03:21:53 PM »

PM Q&A debate in Parliament: Coronavirus and the new Lisbon airport were the main topics.


Quote
The emergence (of the virus), the landing (in Montijo) and other flights of the biweekly debate:

PM Costa went to Parliament today to address the coronavirus scare and didn't received much attacks, unless in the lack of resources of the NHS to fight the virus. Here, all opposition parties from left to right warned the the government cuts in the NHS could hurt the fight against the virus. PSD leader, Rui Rio, even joked that Costa is very "optimistic" about the virus. Costa also announced that the GDP forecast for 2020 could be lowered due to the virus. But the other main topic, the new Lisbon airport, continue to show how tense the mood between PS and PSD is becoming. After the PSD refused to help the PS in order to change a law that is blocking the airport, PS is accusing the PSD of contradiction as it was a PSD/CDS government that choose Montijo as the location. The PSD retaliated accusing the PS of being arrogant and of not talking with the mayors of the cities affected. In fact, before the debate, Costa held an emergency meeting with the mayors of the cities affected by the airport, but the message from the mayors was "it's too late now".

Costa also denied the accusation that, while he was a minister during Sócrates cabinets, he called TVI to get a journalist fired. The question was asked by CHEGA leader André Ventura, as Costa answered that it was an utter lie. Costa also announced that a new Bank of Portugal governor will be appointed by summer time.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #98 on: March 05, 2020, 02:53:56 PM »

PSD refuses to support the PS on possible public-private partnerships in housing:

A proposed PS bill to change the regime public-private partnerships (PPP) bill will, most likely, be stroke down by the PSD. PSD leader, Rui Rio, made the decision today and the media was informed of it. The PS bill proposes that new PPP's should not be decided by the Finance Minister, but the cabinet and opens the door to private-public partnerships in the housing sector, forbidden until now. All parties are opposing the PS bill, from left to right. The parties argue that these changes will damage transparency.

According to the media, the possible failure of this bill could hurt the mayors of the 2 main cities of the country, Lisbon and Porto, who were counting on this bill to pass housing projects.

All parties are proposing, also, their own changes to the public-private partnerships regime but it's unclear if there will be left-right coalition against the PS and the government.
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Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,427
Portugal


« Reply #99 on: March 06, 2020, 02:06:18 PM »
« Edited: March 06, 2020, 02:17:18 PM by Mike88 »

Interesting data on the White/Black electorate in Portugal, from the 2019 post-election survey:

Share of the electorate %:

95% White
  3% Black
  0% Gypsy
  2% Didn't revealed

Left/Right position: (in a scale between 0 and 10, being 0 leftwing and 10 rightwing)

4.7 White
4.8 Black

2019 vote by political bloc %:

White electorate:

32% Left (PS, BE, CDU, PAN, Livre)
20% Right (PSD, CDS, CHEGA, IL, Alliance)
  2% Others/Invalid
46% Abstention

Black electorate:

33% Left (PS, BE, CDU, PAN, Livre)
  1% Right (PSD, CDS, CHEGA, IL, Alliance)
  4% Others/Invalid
62% Abstention

Poll conducted after the 2019 election in the 2019 post election survey, led by pollsters Marina Costa Lobo and Pedro Magalhães.
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