Canada General Discussion (2019-)

[Mike88]

https://twitter.com/nationalpost/status/1368316163667746816

What are the chances of O’Toole being ousted until the end of the year? From what I understood from the article, he went from "a True Blue" conservative to a more moderate path, near "Red Tory". And that many in the party think he should be more tough on Trudeau about the pandemic fight and other policies.

I got a sense of deja-vu while reading the article, to be honest.

[Mike88]

I follow Canadian politics a bit, although I don't post that much in here, but I don't know if the Tories fall isn't more disappointment and alienation from their voters rather than actual loss of voter base. The current CPC leadership is very weak and it isn't doing a very good opposition nor showing a good alternative to the Liberals. Thus, it's understandable that the Tories voters, with the current data, aren't happy or energetic about voting Conservative and they could be actually thinking in skipping the next general election and not vote. The fact is that polling also shows that Trudeau's government isn't that popular and voters aren't overall happy with the current situation (in the Abacus poll, 40% want "definitely" some kind of change, f.e.).

For example, here in Portugal in 2019, during that summer, the PSD was in the exact same situation of the Tories: a massive lead for the PS, 43-20%, no enthusiasm in the rightwing electorate and those voters were planning to skip the election. But, a bad PS campaign and a good performance by the PSD in the campaign, ended with a 36-28% gap on election day.

I'm not saying that is absolutely the case here, it's just my opinion, but I feel that it's more disappointment that is driving the Tories down. O'Toole is being a failure and party leaders, at least that's my view, are very important for a party stance in Canada, probably more than in other nations with Parliamentary systems, and that may be hurting the Tories.

[Mike88]

It's going to be on September 20th.

[Mike88]

Why did housing become so expensive in Canada? Low construction that led to a supply and demand crisis? Low rents for long periods of time that devalued properties and when they started to increase, it created a "boom" in prices that made it impossible for families to buy houses? Still scars from the 2008 crisis? Or all of the above?