Biden is well positioned to be nominee, IA is a tossup and if Biden wins IA, he will win SC
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If Biden wins Iowa, I'll literally eat my sock after a ten hour hike. Biden "was" well positioned to be the nominee, but won't due to NickG's analysis of the polling data.
Interesting that Warren is performing equally well with both white and non-white voters. She leading among both groups in both 1st and 2nd choice. (The poll is only 9% non-white, so I’m sure the MoE is huge.)
She’s also leading among both genders, all education groups, and all age groups except 18-34 (where she is 2nd to Sanders).
This was evident back in August. Everyone over 34 should be going to Biden. Minorities should be going to Harris. High School educated voters should be going to Biden. This illustrates to me that a Warren that wins Iowa, will likely win the next three states. Maybe Sanders wins NH. Maybe.
I'm almost ready to lock this indigenous people's pretender as the Democrat nominee.
