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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, Senator YE, ON Progressive)
  IA-Civiqs/ISU: Warren 28, Buttigieg 20, Sanders 18, Biden 12
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Author Topic: IA-Civiqs/ISU: Warren 28, Buttigieg 20, Sanders 18, Biden 12  (Read 1594 times)
Skye
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« on: October 24, 2019, 06:51:39 am »

Warren 28%
Buttigieg 20%
Sanders 18%
Biden 12%
Klobuchar 4%
Harris 3%
Steyer 3%
Gabbard 2%
Yang 2%
Booker 1%
O'Rourke 1%
Bennet 1%

https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_ISU_banner_book_2019_10.pdf

Polls are all over the place, huh?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2019, 06:52:51 am »

Biden in 4th in Iowa in one poll? He should drop out.
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President Biden
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2019, 06:53:06 am »

Biden in 4th in Iowa in one poll? He should drop out.
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OneJ
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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2019, 08:11:42 am »

2nd Choices:
24% Warren
14% Buttigieg
13% Sanders
10% Biden
7% Klobuchar
6% Harris
5% Gabbard
4% Yang
4% Steyer
Everyone else below that.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2019, 08:46:08 am »

Break out the Drudge Siren on this one.
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Pollster
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« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2019, 08:48:21 am »

Buttigieg could very well be the John Edwards 2008 of this race.
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Governor R2D2 (Biden/Harris 2020 Edition)
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« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2019, 08:54:29 am »


It's true, all the Bernie Bros on Twitter posted that one Emerson poll where Bernie beat Trump by 2% in Iowa, so now the Democrats must nominate Bernie in order to win #BattlegroundIowa
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2019, 08:58:13 am »

Wtf??? Biden up 10% nationally and at 12% in IA? Both figures are absurd.

Honestly, I'm starting to give up on polls. Maybe we ignore all the polls and just see what happens once voting begins.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2019, 09:00:45 am »

Buttigieg could very well be the John Edwards 2008 of this race.

Arguably, anyone could be Edwards at this point. Edwards was still a distant 4th/5th in Iowa in October of 2003.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2019, 09:03:54 am »

2nd choice of Warren voters:
Sanders 25%
Buttigieg 20%
Harris 16%

2nd choice of Buttigieg voters:
Warren 37%
Biden 16%
Klobuchar 13%

2nd choice of Sanders voterrs:
Warren 40%
Gabbard 20%
Sanders 14% (?)

2nd choice of Biden voters:
Warren 34%
Buttigieg 24%
Steyer 9%

Somehow they allow voters to pick the same name for 1st and 2nd choice, such that, for example, 14% of Sanders voters say that hes both their 1st and 2nd choice.
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Pollster
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« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2019, 09:07:06 am »

Buttigieg could very well be the John Edwards 2008 of this race.

Arguably, anyone could be Edwards at this point. Edwards was still a distant 4th/5th in Iowa in October of 2003.

Fair, but meant this in the sense of a relentless focus on Iowa producing a great result, but the campaign not being ready for any of the immediately following contests.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2019, 09:08:54 am »


2nd choice of Sanders voterrs:
Warren 40%
Gabbard 20%
Sanders 14% (?)

Somehow they allow voters to pick the same name for 1st and 2nd choice, such that, for example, 14% of Sanders voters say that hes both their 1st and 2nd choice.


They're just that devoted to voting for him.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2019, 09:35:39 am »

Sloth Biden, is losing
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Dr. RI, Trustbuster
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« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2019, 09:52:04 am »

New Poll: Iowa President by Iowa State University on 2019-10-22

Summary:
Warren:
28%
Buttigieg:
20%
Sanders:
18%
Biden:
12%
Other:
18%
Undecided:
4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2019, 09:53:02 am »

Somehow they allow voters to pick the same name for 1st and 2nd choice, such that, for example, 14% of Sanders voters say that hes both their 1st and 2nd choice.


Not so surprising considering their cult-like mentality.
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Laki
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« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2019, 09:57:46 am »

Bad poll for Biden, surprising strong polls for Buttigieg and Warren. Sanders where i would predict him to be, but if this trend continues, he will end fourth, and will have to drop out before NH.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2019, 11:19:10 am »



Warren currently leads in every CD


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Crumpets
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2019, 11:28:14 am »
« Edited: October 24, 2019, 11:34:09 am by Crumpets »

Buttigieg now ahead of Sanders for the first time in the RCP Iowa average.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2019, 12:08:16 pm »

Awesome.

Warren and Pete should be the last 2 standing after Super Tuesday.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2019, 12:25:42 pm »

Awesome.

Warren and Pete should be the last 2 standing after Super Tuesday.

Pete has zero support from blacks and hispanics, so not likely.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2019, 12:27:36 pm »

Awesome.

Warren and Pete should be the last 2 standing after Super Tuesday.

Pete has zero support from blacks and hispanics, so not likely.

He will, once Biden drops out and endorses him ...
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Dr. RI, Trustbuster
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« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2019, 12:28:56 pm »

Even if Buttigieg finishes a strong second in IA, he's not winning any of the other early states, which will be a big drag on him heading into Super Tuesday, which itself only has a few clear targets for him.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2019, 12:33:21 pm »

Lmao, complete trash
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #23 on: October 24, 2019, 12:44:03 pm »


This poll is consistent with the QU polls that has been conducted, sloth Joe isnt the frontrunner, anymore
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IceSpear
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« Reply #24 on: October 24, 2019, 01:59:20 pm »

It is becoming pretty clear that the pollsters are having a lot of trouble modeling what the Democratic primary electorate is going to look like.
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