NBC/WSJ National Poll: Clinton +9 4Way Clinton +10 2Way (user search)
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  NBC/WSJ National Poll: Clinton +9 4Way Clinton +10 2Way (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ National Poll: Clinton +9 4Way Clinton +10 2Way  (Read 2057 times)
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« on: October 11, 2016, 01:15:01 PM »

the first sample was too small....this here is "rightish"

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/post-debate-poll-shows-clinton-holding-9-point-lead-over-n664541
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2016, 01:21:35 PM »

i would say hillary has a solid lead between 5 and 7 points....rest is noise.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2016, 01:28:35 PM »

i absolutely think, if hillary-leaks is going to dominate the headlines for a few days besides the trump implosion and no new tapes until the third debate, her lead will again "shrink" to 4-5%...but the third debate and the big final will make her rise again.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2016, 01:38:12 PM »

Yeah... this is going to have to be stated clearly... this is not a new poll, this is just another day added to the old poll.

yeah, but nearly double the number of people participating.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2016, 01:47:02 PM »

Put out a dishonest poll, have the media create a false narrative then revise the poll with "another day" of polling.

i am quite sure, ryan knows why he is panicking Wink
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2016, 01:58:27 PM »

cri cra crosstabs

https://de.scribd.com/document/327216789/Public-161027-NBCWSJ-October-N900-Poll-10-11-RELEASE
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #6 on: October 11, 2016, 02:02:31 PM »

nobody should wait for more clinton +10 polls...but i guess we are in for stone-solid +5 to +7.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #7 on: October 11, 2016, 02:09:39 PM »

you are all correct, that the polls were at that level before but that was with a more volatile elecorate and many waves in the one or the other direction.

if my assumption is correct, this +5% lead should be solid and not vulnerable to big bounces.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #8 on: October 11, 2016, 02:40:23 PM »
« Edited: October 11, 2016, 02:43:22 PM by ApatheticAustrian »

well, this always has been one of her stronger polls....if the other polls, which show her tied a month ago, adjust to +6/+7, i will sleep better. Wink


Clinton is winning all college grads by 21 points in our new poll. Romney won them by 4 points in 2012.
https://twitter.com/NKingofDC/status/785926144222597121?lang=de
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


« Reply #9 on: October 11, 2016, 03:02:00 PM »

thanks to "morning trump" twitter is filled with RIGGED NUMBERS shouters regarding this poll.

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