JA
Jacobin American
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,955
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« on: September 26, 2016, 10:29:13 PM » |
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My conclusion from this debate is that trump has ensured that he has a low ceiling and a high floor. Clinton should grow by a few points as more defect from the third party candidates and she gains the majority of undecideds. I'd say Trump's floor is 45% and ceiling is 47% (barring something huge), the third parties should win a combined 3-5%, and that means Clinton (again, barring something huge) should win between 50-52%.
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