Georgia: league of workers (r): Trump +10

[GAinDC]

It’s early. I’m hungover. At first I read “league of women voters” and thought “well this should be a sensible, unbiased poll.”

Wrong!

This organization seems extremely right wing and anti worker and their bio confirms it (if the Daily Caller link didn’t already tip you off)

From their website:

Labor unions claim to represent workers, but the corrupt leadership of these fading organizations has been totally captured by The Democrat Party and a cringe radical agenda.

So it’s clear the right wing special interests are out in full force with their push polls. We saw the same thing in 2022, when these pollsters began flooding the zone after Dem candidates were starting to show surprising strength in the non partisan polls.

I actually believe that Trump would win GA if the election were help today, and he could certainly win it in Nov. But it won’t be by 10 points.

I also hope polls like these remind American workers which candidate has their back.

[GAinDC]

Siena/New York Times just validated this Georgia Poll that everyone questioned. Siena also has Trump up 9 in the Peach State.

there have been 3 polls in the last week that showed Trump +9-10 lead which the red avbies dismissed as outliers.

I agree this is very consistent and Georgia likely isn't a swing state this election.  But why?  What explains this?  It very much came out of the blue.  Demographic trends looked better for Dems in Georgia than just about anywhere else in the country back in 2020!

Indiana 2008-2012 redux?

Nope. The 2010 midterms in Indiana had federal races that foreshadowed its shift back to the right -- like the historically competitive 8th district going to the GOP by 20 points and not looking back.

In 2022, Warnock build on Biden's gains in Atlanta while holding steady elsewhere. If Trump wins big in GA this year, it will probably just be about Biden.