Swing state Black voters (BlackPAC/brilliant corners): Trump at 8%

[GAinDC]

At first I thought the headline meant that he was leading by 8% 😂

[GAinDC]

Color me skeptical.

Why? This tracks with almost every election cycle throughout many, many years.

How is Trump suddenly doubling or even tripling his Black support this year?

[GAinDC]

I'm skeptical that black people would be more concerned with Trump getting re-elected than the rise of white supremacy.  I've just never heard black people say the former was more concerning than the latter. 

The pollster is also providing lower numbers than the exit polls and seems to ignore turnout as the primary reason Trump underperformed.  Black turnout in GA went from 20% to 30%, and this explains why Trump lost despite doing better with AAs from his 2016 numbers. 

You don’t get it? Black voters see those two things as connected, and for good reason.

[GAinDC]

Seems a bit low.

wow, I'm shocked you think that! *sarcasm*

This is about how well Warnock did against Herschel Walker with Black voters in 2022. I don't know if Biden will do that well, but he could come close

[GAinDC]

Can you imagine if Red avatars on here were constantly predicting that white evangelicals were about to swing massively to the Democrats? People would rightfully laugh them off the forum.

That's how the "Trump will realign Black voters to the Republicans" theory sounds to me