What share of the Jewish vote will Trump get?

[Absolution9]

Interesting I wonder if this includes Soviet immigrant Jews (like me), probably 90% of my relatives and family friends in my parents and grandparents generation (I'm 29) are voting for Trump, its up from roughly 75% who usually vote rep.  In my generation its probably 33% Trump, 33% Hillary 33% not voting/third party.

That's why I suspect it will be higher than expected - maybe 25%.  The Soviet Jewish population is probably 750K-1M and I have to believe it will be at least 60/40 backing Trump.

[Absolution9]

Interesting I wonder if this includes Soviet immigrant Jews (like me), probably 90% of my relatives and family friends in my parents and grandparents generation (I'm 29) are voting for Trump, its up from roughly 75% who usually vote rep.  In my generation its probably 33% Trump, 33% Hillary 33% not voting/third party.

I would assume that you gathered there figures through scientific public polling?

I'm not saying that Jews as a whole will vote that way, just my family/family friends.  My estimate was 60% Trump/40% Clinton for Soviet Jews in general and 25% Trump/75% Clinton for all Jews.  Obviously excluding third party votes.

[Absolution9]

Interesting I wonder if this includes Soviet immigrant Jews (like me), probably 90% of my relatives and family friends in my parents and grandparents generation (I'm 29) are voting for Trump, its up from roughly 75% who usually vote rep.  In my generation its probably 33% Trump, 33% Hillary 33% not voting/third party.

That's why I suspect it will be higher than expected - maybe 25%.  The Soviet Jewish population is probably 750K-1M and I have to believe it will be at least 60/40 backing Trump.

I did notice that younger jewish people are going less and less Democrats and bucking the trend.
Younger blacks and Hispanics are less democratic as well.
Otoh, younger whites are going less and less Republican.

Point being, younger people tend to rebel against older generations' thoughts.

Possible for Jews in general although I haven't noticed that.  In my family/ethnic/immigrant circle its just the opposite.  The older generation is extremely fiscally conservative and pro-Israel so tend to vote Republican.  They associate the Dem party with socialism/communism back in the old country much like Cuban Americans and other Eastern Europeans.  The younger generation is assimilating into college educated -white American- big metro - millennial norms.  Although still probably leans a bit more conservative than average.

[Absolution9]

Interesting I wonder if this includes Soviet immigrant Jews (like me), probably 90% of my relatives and family friends in my parents and grandparents generation (I'm 29) are voting for Trump, its up from roughly 75% who usually vote rep.  In my generation its probably 33% Trump, 33% Hillary 33% not voting/third party.

That's why I suspect it will be higher than expected - maybe 25%.  The Soviet Jewish population is probably 750K-1M and I have to believe it will be at least 60/40 backing Trump.

Is that because you so strongly support Putin and all the help he has been willing to give Trump because he has constantly been saying for the past 18 months that Putin was his best friend until he wasn't anymore, because he was apparently fed up with the media constantly attacking him for having said that Putin was his best friend?

Huh?  When did I say that I personally support Trump or Putin?  All of my relatives hate Putin and are supporting Trump despite and not because of his stance on Putin.  For many of them its his biggest negative.  

The ones that are supporting him that don't usually vote Rep (maybe 15-20%) are doing it because they view him as more secular and not hung up on things like abortion/other aspects of social conservatism.

They also love to point out that all three of his adult kids are married to Jews.

[Absolution9]

Interesting I wonder if this includes Soviet immigrant Jews (like me), probably 90% of my relatives and family friends in my parents and grandparents generation (I'm 29) are voting for Trump, its up from roughly 75% who usually vote rep.  In my generation its probably 33% Trump, 33% Hillary 33% not voting/third party.

That's why I suspect it will be higher than expected - maybe 25%.  The Soviet Jewish population is probably 750K-1M and I have to believe it will be at least 60/40 backing Trump.

Is that because you so strongly support Putin and all the help he has been willing to give Trump because he has constantly been saying for the past 18 months that Putin was his best friend until he wasn't anymore, because he was apparently fed up with the media constantly attacking him for having said that Putin was his best friend?

Huh?  When did I say that I personally support Trump or Putin?  All of my relatives hate Putin and are supporting Trump despite and not because of his stance on Putin.  For many of them its his biggest negative.  

The ones that are supporting him that don't usually vote Rep (maybe 15-20%) are doing it because they view him as more secular and not hung up on things like abortion/other aspects of social conservatism.

They also love to point out that all three of his adult kids are married to Jews.

He's not hung up about abortion? Excuse me? He just said in the last presidential debate that he would be the most anti-abortion president in the history of the universe, not only in the history of the United States. In fact he attacked Hillary again and again about how inhumane it was of her to so shamelessly be supporting the practise of the extremely conservative Supreme Court of the United States for almost 50 years now. How can you turn such a conservative statement of Hillary Clinton and such an absolutely vile and ridiculous statement of Trump, attacking her for not only supporting basic woman rights, but supporting a now quite ancient practise with the United States in general and in the justice system specifically?

They view Trump as pandering to the social cons on the issue but not actually caring about it much himself.  Contrast his defence of pro life views to Mike Pence's.  Trump almost immediately, as I remember, switched to talking about partial birth abortion which is more objectionable to most and gave examples (not necessarily representative of the practice) about how horrible it is.  He was clearly uncomfortable with and not well versed in pro-life talking points throughout the campaign.  Pence, on the other hand, literally spent 15 minutes passionately regurgitating anti-abortion talking points during his debate.  Big difference between a true evangelical social con and Trump, it shines through.