RRH/Wick: Ties in OR-04 and VA-07, Sykes +2 in OH-13

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

VA-7: Lean D -> Lean D
OR-4: Likely D -> Lean D (bordering on Likely D)
OH-13: Tilt R -> Tilt R (but confirms my suspicion that Gesiotto is a bad candidate who has run a mediocre-to-poor campaign)

OH-13 (PVI R+1): The poll found Tim Ryan leading 50% to 42% in OH-13, the OH-13 sample was Biden +6. 

OR-4 (PVI D+4): In OR-4, they have Drazen ahead 45-42-8 with a Biden +9 sample.

VA-7 (PVI D+1): In VA-7, they have a Trump +3 sample (so I’d definitely take the results for this race with a grain of salt)

Note: These were conducted by Wick (R).  Then again, RRH polls have had a decent record so make of it what you will.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

A strange set of results as the surface-level (not accounting for MoE, etc.) margin in these districts suggests slightly different midterm environments. I think the OH-13 poll is probably the one that is most off of these, given Ohio polling's problem with underestimating GOP support.

VA-7 is almost certainly off given that it’s a Trump +3 sample in a D+1 district that Biden won pretty comfortably.