Nate Silver believes Democrats will not suffer from low turnout in the 2022 midterms (user search)
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  Nate Silver believes Democrats will not suffer from low turnout in the 2022 midterms (search mode)
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Author Topic: Nate Silver believes Democrats will not suffer from low turnout in the 2022 midterms  (Read 1604 times)
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
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« on: April 09, 2021, 07:21:21 AM »

I do tend to think base turnout will be pretty good for the Democrats, if nothing else (assuming things continue as they have so far).
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Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
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Posts: 26,663
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« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2021, 04:26:05 PM »


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A Jim Bunning retirement would help Republicans — but perhaps not as much as you’d think in a state where Democrats still have a significant registration advantage.

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Lincoln raised $1.7 million in the first quarter, which may further reduce the mostly-theoretical possibility that Republicans decide to mount a serious challenge to her.

Amazing.

More gems:
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(Missouri) increasingly feels like a lean Democratic race.

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A Republican comeback is unlikely if the uber-conservative Pat Toomey is the Republican nominee.

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A nice 1Q fundraising haul by Dorgan reduces the already-slim chance that popular GOP governor John Hoeven might decide to challenge him.

Also Indiana was seen as one of the safest. And Lol at Toomey being considered "uber-conservative".

Moral of the story: Politics can be VERY unpredictable.

Err...Toomey is uber-conservative.  The Republican Party has simply become a hate-fueled cult. 

Also, this article is from May 2009.  That’s like mocking someone b/c they didn’t think both Georgia’s Senate seats would be competitive in mid-2019.  I mean, virtually no one on Atlas did and IIRC Loeffler wasn’t even a Senator yet; in fact we all spent much of the cycle ragging on the DSCC for its terrible candidate recruitment in Georgia (meanwhile some folks insisted Kansas would be a marquee Senate race). 
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