Governor:
Northam wins 53.25%Gillespie 45.63%Hyra 1.12% (
Yellow makes the text hard to read, so the Libertarians don't get a color
)*
Northam wins by 7.62%LG:
Fairfax 51.63%Vogel 48.37%Fairfax wins by 3.26%AG:
Herring 55.08%Adams 44.92%Herring wins by 10.16%House of Delegates: I could see this being anywhere from D +8 to D +12, so I'll split the difference and say
D +10*I think almost all of Hyra's votes this time around will be from folks who would've held their noses and voted Gillespie in a two-way race rather than voting for a Democrat. There's basically no reason for anyone who'd ever consider voting Democratic to vote third party this cycle, especially after what happened in 2016.