1. Virginia Sen. George Allen wins re-election with just under 55% of the vote. With Jim Webb making such a strong showing, winning over 45% of the vote, Allen's presidential prospects are dampened enough that he announces unequivocally sometime in 2007 that he will not run for his party's nomination in 2008.
2. MD: Ben Cardin wins the primary, narrowly beating Kweisi Mfume with a bare plurality of the vote, i.e. 45-43%, with the remainder going to the other candidates. In the general election, he wins 55 to 45% over Michael Steele.
3. PA: Bob Casey beats Rick Santorum 54 to 44%. Two percent go to the Green candidate.
4. In Alabama, Gov. Bob Riley handily defeats Lucy Baxley 58 to 42%. Republicans take over all the lower offices except the Agriculture & Industries Commissioner position.
5. In Georgia, Gov. Sonny Purdue smashes Mark Taylor by a nearly three-to-two margin, 59 to 41%. Republicans take over all the lower offices except Attorney General, as well as the Agriculture and Labor commissioner positions.
6. Mississippi Sen. Trent Lott makes short work of Erik Fleming, triumphing with just short of 70% of the vote.
7. Arkansas: Mike Beebe becomes governor with 53% of the vote. Democrats take complete control of Arkansas with every lower office going Democratic.
8. Tennessee: Harold Ford, Jr. loses to Bob Corker, the Republican senatorial nominee, 45-55%.
9. Oklahoma Gov. Brad Henry narrowly wins re-election, 52 to 48%, defeating Ernest Istook.
10. RI: Stephen Laffey defeats Sen. Lincoln Chafee 51 to 49% in an upset during the Republican primary. He goes on to lose to Sheldon Whitehouse 35 to 65%.
11. CA: Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger narrowly wins re-election over Phil Angeledes 52 to 46%, with the remainder going to Miguel Camejo.
12. OR: If Ben Westlund is indeed confirmed to be running for Governor, Ron Saxton wins 49 to 48%, with 3% going to Westlund. If he decides not to run, the incumbent Gov. Ted Kulongoski wins re-election 50 to 48%.
These are all plausible except for #9. Henry is wildly popular and will defeat Istook by a double digit margin.
