If Quinnipiac is showing Clinton ahead in Florida, RIP Trump.
Quinnipiac has been pretty good in Florida, but whatever.
Cute, but no. Their model been a joke in comparison to others all year.
That's a long-term rating. Their model has a big drop in especially Latino turnout, basically it has the same problem that Gallup had in 2012. Too white an electorate. Look at their performance in the Dem primary, where race is a big deal, it's been pretty bad and their national models have had lower than trend performances for Clinton.
I will compare Quinnipiac and Monmouth in the most important states according to 538
| State | Q (error towards Clinton) | M (error towards Clinton) | Result |
| FL | C +25 (-5.2) | Na | C +31.2 |
| PA | C +6 (-6) | C+13(+1) | C+12 |
| OH | C+5(-8.8 ) | C+14(+0.2) | C+13.8 |
| NC | Na | Na | |
| VA | Na | C+27 (-2.1) | C+29.1 |
| MI | Na | C+13(+14.5) | S+1.5 |
| CO | Na | Na | |
| MN | Na | Na | |
| IA | S+3(-3.2) | C+5(+4.8 ) | C+0.2 |
| WI | Na | Na | |
| GA | Na | Na | |
| NV | Na | Na | |
| CT | C+9(+3.8 ) | Na | C+5.2 |
| NH | Na | S+10(+12.4) | S+22.4 |
Q understimated Hillary with 3.88 on avareage
M overestimated Hillary with 5.13 on average
In the same states
Q -6
M +2
Q is not that bad, and clearly is not a joke, even though it seems to have a clear R-bias
